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The plot below shows the evolution of forecasts valid 27-29 February for 2-metre temperature in Reading. Ensemble forecasts are in blue box-and-whisker, HRES in red dot and model climatology red box-and-whisker.The cold anomaly was in some of the early (monthly forecasts, see below) and consistently captured since around 16 February.
Snowfall in Reading on 1-2 March
The plots below show the forecast for precipitation type in Reading, starting from the latest forecast before the event (1 March 00UTC) and ending with the forecast from 22 February 00UTC.
The plot below shows the forecast evolution for 2-day snowfall in Reading on 1-2 March. From 25 February the ensemble median was fairly consistent about the snowfall.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plots below show weekly anomalies of 2-metre temperature for 26 February to 4 March.
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