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Venue : L'
EcoleÉcole Nationale de la Météorologie
7-9th June 2016.
Overview
This workshop will introduce participants to the ECMWF OpenIFS forecast model, with presentations and exercises based on a case study of storm Hurricane Nadine during the HYMEX campaign.
Outline programme
Start (each day): 9.15am coffee, 9.30 start
Finish (7/8th) : 5pm (latest)
(9th) : 4pm (latest)
Lunch: 12.30 - 2pm
Prerequisite
Please read the paper: Pantillon, F., Chaboureau, J.-P. and Richard, E. (2015), 'Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine and an Atlantic cutoff dropping the predictability over the Mediterranean, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2635/abstract
Programme
Location: Room C059, ENM, MeteoFrance.
Tues 7th June: Context and case study
9.15 Coffee
9.30 30 Introductions and workshop overview - Frédéric Ferry (ENM) / Glenn Carver (ECMWF)
9.40 Presentation of the The HyMeX field campaign - Véronique Ducrocq (CNRM/GMME/D)
10.10 Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience – Etienne Chabot (ENM/DER/PAM and CNRM/GMME/MICADO)
10.40 Break
11.15 Presentation on : Pantillon, F., Chaboureau, J.-P. and Richard, E. (2015), Vortex–vortex Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine (2012) and an Atlantic cut-off dropping the predictability over the Mediterranean. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. doi: 10.1002/qj.2635 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2635/abstract
- Jean-Pierre Chaboureau (U.Toulouse)
10.40 Break
11.15 11.45 Introduction to OpenIFS and the exercises - Glenn Carver (ECMWF)
12.30 Lunch
2pm 11.45 Introduction to Metview - Sandor Kertesz (ECMWF)
2.30 Practical session: learning Metview and the virtual machine to visualize the Nadine case (20120920-20120924)
4.30pm Finish
12.00 Virtual machine setup and Metview practice (classroom)
12.30 Lunch
14.00 Practical session: Explore ECMWF analysis & deterministic forecast of Nadine & cut-off low
17.00 Finish
Weds 8th June: Uncertainty and ensemble predictionEnsemble prediction and forecast sensitivity
9.15 Coffee
9.30 Ensemble prediction at ECMWF ECMWF - Glenn Carver (ECMWF)
109.00 45 Ensemble prediction at convective scale with AROME - François Bouttier (CNRM/GMME/MICADO)
10.30 15 Break
1110.00 45 - 417.30pm 00 (lunch 12.30-2pm14.00) Practical session with OpenIFS on Nadine’s forecasts
ECMWF analysis and deterministic forecast
Analysis of the forecast error (RMSE)
Visualization of ensemble forecasts (plumes, ensemble spread, spaghettis, ...)
PCA and clustering
Exploring the uncertainty with OpenIFS : initial+model (EDA+SV+SPPT+SKEB, EDA+SV), initial (EDA+SV), model (SPPT+SKEB), "classroom ensemble” (SPPT+SKEB)
Group presentations and discussions
: Explore ECMWF ensemble forecasts of Nadine and the cutoff low
17.00 4.30pm Finish
Thurs 9th June: Case study (contd). OpenIFS single column model (SCM) exercise and convectiongroup presentations
9.15 Coffee
9.30 Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience – Etienne Chabot (ENM/DER/PAM and CNRM/GMME/MICADO)
10.00 Practical session (contd), including:
- Preparation of presentations
10.30 30 Break
10.45 Group presentations and discussion.
12.30 Lunch
14.00 Presentation of the OpenIFS SCM Single Column Model - Filip Vana (ECMWF) Practical
- Practical session with the SCM model
16.00
12.30-2pm Lunch
2pm Presentation, Discussions and debrief
4pm Finish
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This workshop is only available to participants from ENM/Météo-France. Unlike previous years, this is not open to all OpenIFS users (the next general OpenIFS user event will be in 2017). |
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Case study practical exercises |
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The HyMeX field campaign Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine and an Atlantic cut-off Ensemble prediction at convective scale with AROME Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience |
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Collection of plots from the practical exercises using Metview. |
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OpenIFS user meeting 2015 OpenIFS user meeting 2014 OpenIFS user meeting 2013 |