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Venue :  L'

Ecole

École Nationale de la Météorologie

7-9th June 2016.

 

Overview

This workshop will introduce participants to the ECMWF OpenIFS forecast model, with presentations and exercises based on a case study of Hurricane Nadine during the HYMEX campaign.

Outline programme

Start (each day) :  9.15am coffee, 9.30 start
Lunch                 : 12.30 - 2pm
Finish (7/8th)     :   5pm (latest)
           (9th)       :    4pm (latest)

Presentations : 30mins duration

Detailed programme

Prerequisite

Please read the paper: Pantillon, F., Chaboureau, J.-P. and Richard, E. (2015), 'Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine and an Atlantic cutoff dropping the predictability over the Mediterranean,   http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2635/abstract

Programme

Location: Room C059, ENM, MeteoFrance.

Tues 7th June: Context and case study


9.15             Coffee

9.30      Introductions and workshop overview
                     - Frédéric Ferry (ENM) / Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

9.40      Presentation of the The HyMeX field campaign
                    - 
Véronique Ducrocq (CNRM/GMME/D)

10.10     Presentation on Hurricane Nadine : Pantillon, F., Chaboureau, J.-P. and Richard, E. (2015), 
              http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2635/abstract
                  Jean-Pierre Chaboureau    Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine and an Atlantic cut-off dropping the predictability over the Mediterranean
                                                         -   Jean-Pierre Chaboureau (U.Toulouse)
 

10.40            Break

11.15    Introduction to OpenIFS and the exercises    - Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

11.45    Introduction to Metview     - Sandor Kertesz (ECMWF)

12.00   Virtual machine setup and Metview practice (classroom)

12.30   30            Lunch

2pm   14.00     Practical session: Explore ECMWF analysis & deterministic forecast of Nadine & cut-off low

417.30pm 00     Finish

 

Weds 8th June: Uncertainty and ensemble predictionEnsemble prediction and forecast sensitivity

9.15          Coffee

9.30   Ensemble prediction at ECMWF ECMWF    - Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

109.00  45   Ensemble prediction at convective scale with AROME - François Bouttier (CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

10.30  15       Break

1110.00 45 - 417.30pm 00 (lunch 12.30-2pm14.00)   Practical session : Explore ECMWF ensemble forecasts

Analysis

of

the forecast error (RMSE)
  • Visualization of ensemble forecasts (plumes, ensemble spread, spaghettis, ...)

  • PCA and clustering

  • Forecast sensitivity
  • Nadine and the cutoff low

    17.00   4.30pm  Finish

     

    Thurs 9th June: Case study (contd). OpenIFS single column model (SCM) exercise and convectiongroup presentations

    9.15          Coffee

    9.30   Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience – Etienne Chabot (ENM/DER/PAM and CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

    10.00  Practical session (contd), including:

      • Preparation of presentations

    10.30  30       Break

    10.45   Group presentations and discussion.

    12.30        Lunch

    14.00    Presentation of the OpenIFS Single Column Model - Filip Vana (ECMWF)

      Practical
      •  Practical session with the SCM model
    • : sensitivity experiments to convective parameterization, …

    12.30-2pm  Lunch

    2pm    Group presentations, Discussions and debrief


    16.00   4pm    Finish

     

     

     

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    Infopanel
    titlePlease note!

    This workshop is only available to participants from ENM/Météo-France.

    Unlike previous years, this is not open to all OpenIFS users. The next general OpenIFS user event will be in 2017.

     

     
    Workshop handouts

    Case study practical exercises

    Introduction to the single column model

    Single column model practical exercise - convection

    Panel
    titlePresentations

    The HyMeX field campaign
      
    Véronique Ducrocq (CNRM/GMME/D) 

    Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine and an Atlantic cut-off
        Jean-Pierre Chaboureau (U.Toulouse)
     

    Ensemble prediction at convective scale with AROME
          François Bouttier (CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

     Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience
        
    Etienne Chabot (ENM/DER/PAM)

    Panel
    titleGallery

    Collection of plots from the practical exercises using Metview.

     

     

    Panel
    titlePrevious OpenIFS user meetings

    OpenIFS user meeting 2015
        University of Oxford/ECMWF

     OpenIFS user meeting 2014
        University of Stockholm