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Comment: Confirmed: historical record

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The page will be updated as required. It was last changed on 16th June 23rd September 2020.

For a record of changes made to this page please refer to Document versions .

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The planned timetable for the implementation of the cycle 46r1 47r1 is as follows:

DateEvent
TBC13 July 2020Announcement of expected implementation date
TBC6 October 2020

Implementation

The timetable represents current expectations and may change in light of actual progress made.

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IFS cycle 47r1 is going through its final testing preparation phase.

Meteorological content of the new cycle

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Impact of the new cycle

A comprehensive evaluation report of the 47r1 e-suite is being prepared by CAMS 84 has been prepared documenting all the changes and their impact on the forecasts. Noteworthy improvements w.r.t to the current o-suite cycle 46r1 are: 

  • strongly reduced stratospheric ozone bias (10-20 hPa range) because of the HLO ozone scheme
  • strongly reduced positive SO2 surface bias, especially during night time, in Europe and North-America because of the introduction of injection heights for SO2 emissions
  • increased fine and ultra fine mode sea-salt and reduced corse mode sea-salt because of the new sea-salt emissions scheme
  • increased surface PM2.5 leading to improvements over Europe 
  • reduced positive dust biases in desert-affected regions, which also reduce overestimation of PM10

Technical details of the new cycle

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Availability of test data from the cycle 47r1 test suites

To be completedThe CAMS operational FTP server (ECPDS) currently serves the most recent 3 days of test data in the directories "/DATA/CAMS_GLOBAL_TEST" and "/DATA/CAMS_EUROPE_BC_TEST" for global and regional boundary condition data, respectively. In addition, surface level fields (model level 137) are provided as individual files in the CAMS_GLOBAL_ADDITIONAL_TEST directory. Users wanting to access the output from the current test system for a longer period can access the data from 1 October 2019 onwards directly on MARS or through our WebAPI. More details can be found here: https://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/COPSRV/Accessing+CAMS+47r1+test+data.

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Document versions

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DateReason for update
20 April 2019

Initial version

13 July 2020Updated with latest information before public announcement
23 September 2020Updated with latest information
3 October 2020Link to EQC report added