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Venue :  L'

Ecole

École Nationale de la Météorologie

7-9th June 2016.

 

Overview

This workshop will introduce participants to the ECMWF OpenIFS forecast model, with presentations and exercises based on a case study of storm Hurricane Nadine during the HYMEX campaign.

Outline programme

Start (each day):  9.15am coffee, 9.30 start
Finish (7/8th)    :   5pm (latest)
           (9th)      :    4pm (latest)

Lunch: 12.30 - 2pm

 

Prerequisite

Please read the paper: Pantillon, F., Chaboureau, J.-P. and Richard, E. (2015), 'Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine and an Atlantic cutoff dropping the predictability over the Mediterranean,   http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2635/abstract

Programme

Location: Room C059, ENM, MeteoFrance.

Tues 76th June: Context and case study

Presentation of the


9.15             Coffee

9.30      Introductions and workshop overview   - Frédéric Ferry (ENM) / Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

9.40      The HyMeX field campaign   -  Véronique Ducrocq (CNRM/GMME/D)

  • Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience – Etienne Chabot (ENM/DER/PAM and CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

    • Pantillon, F., Chaboureau, J.-P. and Richard, E. (2015), Vortex–vortex

    10.10     Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine

    (2012)

    and an Atlantic cut-off dropping the predictability over the Mediterranean

    . Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. doi: 10.1002/qj.2635


                                                             -   Jean-Pierre Chaboureau (U.Toulouse)
     

    10.40            Break

    11.15    Introduction to OpenIFS and the exercises    - Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

    11.45    Introduction to Metview     - Sandor Kertesz (ECMWF)

    12.00   Virtual machine setup and Metview practice (classroom)

    12.30            Lunch

    14.00     Practical session: Explore ECMWF analysis & deterministic forecast of Nadine & cut-off low

    17.00     Finish

     

    Weds 8th June: Ensemble prediction and forecast sensitivity

    9.15          Coffee

    9.30   Ensemble prediction at ECMWF   

    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2635/abstract

  • Introduction to Metview - Sandor Kertesz (ECMWF)

  • Practical session with Metview : visualizing the Nadine case (20120920-20120924)

    •  

    7th June: Uncertainty and ensemble prediction

    Ensemble prediction at ECMWF

    - Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

    9.45   Ensemble prediction at convective scale with AROME - François Bouttier (CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

  • Practical session with OpenIFS on Nadine’s forecasts

    • ECMWF analysis and deterministic forecast

    • Analysis of the forecast error (RMSE)

    • Visualization of ensemble forecasts (plumes, ensemble spread, spaghettis, ...)

    • PCA and clustering

    • Exploring the uncertainty with OpenIFS : initial+model (EDA+SV+SPPT+SKEB, EDA+SV), initial (EDA+SV), model (SPPT+SKEB), "classroom ensemble” (SPPT+SKEB)

    • Group presentations and discussions

    • 10.15       Break

    10.45 - 17.00 (lunch 12.30-14.00)   Practical session : Explore ECMWF ensemble forecasts of Nadine and the cutoff low

    17.00   Finish

     

    Thurs 9

     

    8th June: Case study (contd). Open IFS OpenIFS single column model (SCM) and convectionexercise and group presentations

    9.15        Coffee

    9.30   Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience – Etienne Chabot (ENM/DER/PAM and CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

    10.00  Practical session (contd)

    .

    , including:

      • Preparation of presentations

    10.30       Break

    10.45   Group presentations and discussion.

    12.30        Lunch

    14.00    Presentation of the OpenIFS

    SCM

    Single Column Model - Filip Vana (ECMWF)

    Practical
      •  Practical session with the SCM model
    : sensitivity experiments to convective parameterization, …Discussions and debrief

    16.00   Finish

     

     

     

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    Credits
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    Info
    titlePlease note!

    This workshop is only available to participants from ENM/Météo-France.

    Unlike previous years, this is not open to all OpenIFS users (the next general OpenIFS user event will be in 2017).

     

    Panel
    titleWorkshop handouts

    Case study practical exercises

    Introduction to the single column model

    Single column model practical exercise - convection

    Panel
    titlePresentations

    The HyMeX field campaign
           Véronique Ducrocq (CNRM/GMME/D) 

    Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine and an Atlantic cut-off
        Jean-Pierre Chaboureau (U.Toulouse)
     

    Ensemble prediction at convective scale with AROME
          François Bouttier (CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

     Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience
             Etienne Chabot (ENM/DER/PAM)

    Panel
    titleGallery

    Collection of plots from the practical exercises using Metview.

     

     

    Panel
    titlePrevious OpenIFS user meetings

    OpenIFS user meeting 2015
        University of Oxford/ECMWF

     OpenIFS user meeting 2014
        University of Stockholm

    OpenIFS user meeting 2013
        University of Helsinki