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Use the ens_to_an.mv icon and plot the MSLP and wind fields. This will produce plots showing: the mean of  all the ensemble forecasts, the spread of the ensemble forecasts, the operational HRES deterministic forecast and the analysis.

This macro can be used to look at collections of ensemble members. It will be used later in the clustering exercises. For this task, make sure all the members of the ensemble are used.

Code Block
languagebash
titleUse all ensemble members in this task:
#ENS members (use ["all"] or a list of members like [1,2,3]
members=["all"] #[1,2,3,4,5] #["all"] ["cl1"]
Panel
borderColorred
titleQuestions
  1. How does the mean of the ensemble forecasts compare to the HRES & analysis?
  2. Does the ensemble spread capture the error in the forecast?
  3. What other comments can you make about the ensemble spread?

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