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Based on initial discussion here are draft objectives for 2026:

  1. introduce and evaluate irrigation driven by monthly activation maps
  2. intruduce and evaluate CaMa-Flood inundation flux 
  3. introduce and evaluate runoff and infiltration fixes
  4. develop an hydrological calibration suite and explore the use of AI emulators
  5. contribute to CAMS-RD proposal for enhance land carbon/vegetation modelling


2025:

  1. test water extent by CaMa-Flood interaction with subgrid Open-Water (Flake).
    1. The additive water algorithm has been tested on a number of flood cases in the period 2016-2026
    2. A flooded area extent benchmarking has been prepared using GFM and VIIRS data.
  2. experiment on the shallow-water vertical exchange with focus on water and energy (eg. wet soil after inundation or lake retract, re-evaporation)
    1. The lake model miminum depth has been tested reducing to 0.5m without instabilities.
    2. An infiltration flux has been tested first in the context of irrigation as a step to consider flooded water reinfiltration
    3. An irrigation scheme is coded in offline forecast and analysis proving positive impact on scores.
  3. investigate the runoff generation spottiness with link to daily report case studies.
    1. The runoff spots have been understood and link with deep soil layer freezing. A modified infiltration mitigate the issue
  4. collaborate with Jasper the SDFOR/SDOR runoff generation sensitivity (Gp focus on water exchange and coupling)
    1. A revision of the orographic runoff based on conserving the surface runoff fraction across resolution has been implemented.
  5. collaborate with Souhail/Gabriele/Francesca on the 9-layer sensitivities to hydrological changes
    1. This development has been deprioritised in agreement with my line manager
  6. collaborate with Patricia on the investigation of Africa drought motivating the OPER vs ERA5 differences
    1. The difference in runoff has been understood and attributed to the change of vegetation cover since 49r1
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