Contributors: Aymn Elhaddad (GRO INTELLIGENCE), Stephan Meyer zum Alten Borgloh (GRO INTELLIGENCE), Allard de Wit (WAGENINGEN ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH)

Issued by:  WEnR and GRO

Issued Date: April 2019

Ref: D422Lot1.WEnR.2.4.1

Official reference number service contract: 2017/C3S_422_Lot1_WEnR/SC2

Table of Contents

History of Modifications

Version

Date

Description of modification

editor

1.01

July 2019

Submitted in Tempobox

Aymn

2.0

August 2019

Revised based on comments ECMWF

Aymn









Acronyms

Acronym

Description or definition

ET

Actual Evapotranspiration

PET

Potential Evapotranspiration

LAI

Leaf Area Index

FC

Vegetation fractional cover

Albedo

Ground surface albedo

Scope of the document

The scope of this document is to provide an overview of the product characteristics. The product covered here is the estimates of vegetation actual and potential evapotranspiration (ET,PET). The estimates of ET,PET is achieved by combining meteorological products from CDS ERA5 with Copernicus Global Land Service CGLS-based inputs consisting of land cover type, surface albedo (ALB), vegetation fractional cover (FC) and leaf area index (LAI) .

Executive summary

Accurate estimations of actual crop evapotranspiration (ET) give insight in water consumption, crop water stress, and production levels of crops. Accurate estimations of ET can also be used for optimal irrigation scheduling. ET is obtained by combining meteorological products from Climate Data Store (CDS) with Earth Observation based inputs consisting of land cover type, albedo, fractional cover (Fcover) and the leaf area index (LAI).The dataset presented here contains the MODGroETa model output which is actual and potential vegetation and soil evapotranspiration (ET) in millimeters with dekadal temporal resolution and 0.1-degree spatial resolution. The ET data available in this product is from 2000 to current with a lag time of two weeks. ET estimation is derived from daily ERA-INTERIM meteorological reanalysis data along with CGLS dekadal remotely sensed data products. In the near future it will switch to the AgERA5 meteorological data when it becomes available through the CDS. The theoretical base of the modeling approach is the Penman Monteith equation (Monteith, 1965). The MODGroETa model algorithm runs on a daily time scale that is then aggregated to dekadal, daily ET is the sum of ET from daytime and night. Vertically, ET is the sum of water vapor fluxes from soil evaporation, wet canopy evaporation and plant transpiration at dry canopy surface.

Figure 1 shows a sample output of the model representing the global dekadal actual evapotranspiration at 0.1-degree spatial resolution and aggregated over the period 08/20/2004 - 08/31/2004.


Figure 1: global dekadal aggregated (for the period from 8/20/2004 to 8/31/2004) actual evapotranspiration at 0.1 degree lat/lon grid.

Product description

MODGroETa version 1

Introduction

Remote sensing has been used as a feasible means to estimate regional evapotranspiration (ET) due to its spectral, spatial, and temporal characteristics. Remotely sensed data obtained from satellites provides continuous near-real time data that is useful in the monitoring of land surface biophysical variables that impacts ET.
Implementation of the MODGroETa code satisfies the need to generate near real time (NRT) global evapotranspiration.
The MODGroETa is a remote sensing-based evapotranspiration model developed by Gro- Intelligence using the same theoretical basis of MODIS Global Evapotranspiration (MOD16) that was developed by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). The MOD16 evapotranspiration project was initiated by NASA's Earth Observing System (EOS) and implemented by the Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group (NTSG) from the University of Montana to estimate global terrestrial evapotranspiration from land surfaces by using satellite remote sensing data. The MOD16 model uses a combination of meteorological and remote sensing ground surface data and is based on the Penman-Monteith equation. The MODGroETa model (Gro's version of MOD16) uses two sets of input data from the Climate Data Store (CDS),the first set is daily meteorological reanalysis data such as air temperature and solar radiation obtained from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the second set is Copernicus Global Land Service (CGLS) remotely sensed data products such as vegetation fractional cover (FC), albedo (ALB), and leaf area index (LAI).

Geophysical product description

This dataset contains the MODGroETa model output which is actual and potential vegetation and soil evapotranspiration (ET) in millimeters with dekadal temporal resolution and 0.1-degree spatial resolution. The ET data available in this product is from 1998 to current with a lag time of two weeks. ET estimation is derived from daily ERA-INTERIM meteorological reanalysis data along with CGLS dekadal remotely sensed data products. In the near future it will switch to the AgERA5 meteorological data when it becomes available through the CDS. The theoretical base of the modeling approach is the Penman Monteith equation. The MODGroETa model algorithm runs on a daily time scale that is then aggregated to dekadal, daily ET is the sum of ET from daytime and night. Vertically, ET is the sum of water vapor fluxes from soil evaporation, wet canopy evaporation and plant transpiration at dry canopy surface.

Product target requirements

The MODGroETa model requires both satellite products from the Copernicus Global Land Service (GLS) and meteorological data from the Climate Data Store (CDS). The required CDS product are operationally available (FC, LAI, Alb, land cover) in the Copernicus GLS (https://land.copernicus.eu/global/). For the meteorological products the agriculturally tailored ERA5 product (AgERA5 - as developed in C3S) would be the most suitable data product to apply.

For many users in the agricultural community also assessments of crop water use and especially water stress for the running cropping season are highly relevant. This is especially true for the agro- business and water management communities, as early indications of production anomalies are of paramount importance for tax/subsidies and price volatility, and water stress indicators might warrant action with respect to water allocation and irrigation.
Therefore, ideally this product needs processing in near real time, i.e. updates are required each time the GLS product is update and then processed with the latest AgERA5t data.

Product Gap analysis

The MODGroETa model uses satellite products from the Copernicus Global Land Service (GLS) and meteorological data from the Climate Data Store (CDS) so the availability of the model product ET/PET and the gaps too depends on the input data availability from CDS and CGLS.
The MODGroET indicators should ideally also be available in near real time, and thus be updated every 10 days as soon as the required input data in the Copernicus GLS and CDS (EO data and AgERA5T, respectively) comes.

Data usage information

Practical usage considerations use of products

Accurate estimations of actual crop evapotranspiration (ET) give insight into water consumption, crop water stress, and production levels of crops. Accurate estimations of ET can also be used for optimal irrigation scheduling. ET is obtained by combining meteorological products from Climate Data Store (CDS) with Earth Observation based inputs consisting of land cover type, albedo, Fcover and the leaf area index (LAI).

Some of the direct application of the data presented are:

  1. understand how much water is consumed by plants over a period of time.
  2. as indicator for water stress
  3. to estimate irrigation needs

Geospatial coverage and dimensions, time coverage, dimensions

  • Global scale
  • Historic evapotranspiration and Near real time (NRT) evapotranspiration
  • Resolution 10 km

The product will allow a quick comparison of changes in water use and drought in time and over different areas for specific crops. This can be used for improved crop and irrigation management and other water resources management applications.

Known Limitations of product

Algorithm Uncertainties

Many factors affect uncertainties in estimating ET , the following outlines key factors: (1) errors in land cover estimates as LAI/FPAR tends to be higher than actual ground conditions; (2) ground measurement errors as eddy covariance towers usually underestimated ET at high values with overestimation at the low values; (3) scaling from tower to landscape errors during validation as eddy covariance with small footprint (located at 2-5m) compared to ET estimates at 3x3 1km2 with potential significant heterogeneity; (4) algorithm assumptions and limitations since stomatal closure is assumed at night when many studies have reported the contrary for many plant species for a range of habitats. Moreover, increasing CO2 which tends to reduce plant transpiration is not accounted for in this simulation.
See the ATBD documentation with further details on product validation.

Concluding remarks

Discussion: Model performance is largely impacted by two factors. The first, and the most dominant factor is the land classification layer, which is the key factor in determining all model coefficients that drive surface and aerodynamic resistance. The second most important set of factors for the model are LAI and FC. Resampling the LUT layer from 300 meters to 10km merges different land types and creates a new pixel that holds the code for the majority of the land cover type. The resampling of LAI and FC has less impact than LUT resampling on ET estimation accuracy since it is a mathematical averaging rather than applying a majority value as the case with LUT.

Conclusion:

The model performance in cropland and wetland /grass was better than the model performance over open shrubland or savanna, and the model performance over forested areas was acceptable. Misclassification in LUT leads to the selection of the wrong parameters for vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and minimum air temperature (Tmin) for stomatal (cs) and canopy (cc) conductance constraints, resulting in less accurate ET estimates. Model results are most accurate in the middle of the season where LAI and Fc are high. Other uncertainties in the MOD16 ET algorithm may also arise from: i) ECMWF re-analysis data, which are validated at the global scale, and may require more detailed analysis when used at regional scales; (ii) resampling of reanalysis data with spatial resolution of ∼75 km to 10 km, (iii) infilling missing and contaminated LAI and FC values with low quality data, and (iv) ground-based measurements by the eddy covariance system and in the tower footprint used to validate the model.

References

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Cleugh, H. A., Leuning, R., Mu, Q., and Running, S. W. (2007). Regional evaporation estimates from flux tower and MODIS satellite data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 106(3), 285-304.

Jovanovic, N., Mu, Q., Bugan, R. D., and Zhao, M. (2015). Dynamics of MODIS evapotranspiration in South Africa. Water SA, 41(1), 79-90.

Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Ciais, P., Seneviratne, S. I., Sheffield, J., Goulden, M. L., ... and Dolman, A. J. (2010). Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply. Nature, 467(7318), 951-954.

Monteith, J. L. (1965). Evaporation and environment. Symposium of the society of experimental biology, 19, 205−224

Mu, Q., Heinsch, F. A., Zhao, M., and Running, S. W. (2007). Development of a global evapotranspiration algorithm based on MODIS and global meteorology data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 111(4), 519-536.

Mu, Q., Jones, L. A., Kimball, J. S., McDonald, K. C., and Running, S. W. (2009). Satellite assessment of land surface evapotranspiration for the pan-Arctic domain. Water Resources Research, 45(9).

Mu, Q., Zhao, M., and Running, S. W. (2011). Improvements to a MODIS global terrestrial evapotranspiration algorithm. Remote Sensing of Environment, 115(8), 1781-1800.

Mu, Q., Zhao, M., and Running, S. W. (2011). Evolution of hydrological and carbon cycles under a changing climate. Hydrological Processes, 25(26), 4093-4102.

Mu, Q., Zhao, M., & Running, S. W. (2012). Remote Sensing and Modeling of Global Evapotranspiration. In Multiscale Hydrologic Remote Sensing: Perspectives and Applications (pp. 443-480), edited by Chang, N. B., Hong, Y., CRC Press.

Mu, Q., Zhao M., Kimball J. S., McDowell N., and Running S. W., (2013) A Remotely Sensed Global Terrestrial Drought Severity Index, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94: 83–98.
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Ruhoff, A. L., Paz, A. R., Aragao, L. E. O. C., Mu, Q., Malhi, Y., Collischonn, W., ... and Running, S. W. (2013). Assessment of the MODIS global evapotranspiration algorithm using eddy covariance measurements and hydrological modelling in the Rio Grande basin. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58(8), 1658-1676.

Smettem, K. R., Waring, R. H., Callow, J. N., Wilson, M., and Mu, Q. (2013). Satellite-derived estimates of forest leaf area index in southwest Western Australia are not tightly coupled to interannual variations in rainfall: implications for groundwater decline in a drying climate. Global Change Biology, 19(8), 2401-2412.

Wang, S., Pan, M., Mu, Q., Shi, X., Mao, J., Brümmer, C., ... and Black, T. A. (2015). Comparing Evapotranspiration from Eddy Covariance Measurements, Water Budgets, Remote Sensing, and Land Surface Models over Canada. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16(4), 1540-1560.

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Zhang, K., Kimball, J. S., Mu, Q., Jones, L. A., Goetz, S. J., and Running, S. W. (2009). Satellite based analysis of northern ET trends and associated changes in the regional water balance from 1983 to 2005. Journal of Hydrology, 379(1), 92-110.

This document has been produced in the context of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).

The activities leading to these results have been contracted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, operator of C3S on behalf of the European Union (Delegation Agreement signed on 11/11/2014 and Contribution Agreement signed on 22/07/2021). All information in this document is provided "as is" and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose.

The users thereof use the information at their sole risk and liability. For the avoidance of all doubt , the European Commission and the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts have no liability in respect of this document, which is merely representing the author's view.

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