Contributors: L. Zawadzki (CLS), B. Calmettes (CLS), L. Carrea (University of Reading), C.J. Merchant (University of Reading)

Issued by: L. Zawadzki, B. Calmettes

Date: 13/01/2020

Ref:C3S_312b_Lot4_D3.LK.6-v2.0_202001_Product_User_Guide_and_Specification_LWL_v0.1

Official reference number service contract: 2018/C3S_312b_Lot4_EODC/SC2

Table of Contents

History of modifications

Version

Date

Description of modification

Chapters / Sections

(V0.1 312b_Lot4)

13/01/2020

The present document was modified based on the document with deliverable ID: C3S_312b_lot4_D3.LK.6-v1.0_Product_User_Guide_and_Specification_LWL_v1.4

CC



The spatial coverage (number of lakes) has increased

CLS













List of datasets covered by this document

Deliverable ID

Product title

Product type (CDR, ICDR)

Version number

Delivery date

D3.LK.4-v1v2.0

Lake Water Level

CDR

V2.1

31/01/2020











Related documents 

Reference ID

Document

D1.LK.3

System Quality Assurance Document v2.0

D1.LK.4

Algorithm Theoretical Basis Document v2.0

D2.LK.3

Product Quality Assurance Document v2.0

D2.LK.4

Product Quality Assessment Report v2.0

D3.LK.6

Product User Guide and Specifications v2.0

Acronyms

Acronym

Definition

ATBD

Algorithm Theoretical Basis Document

AVISO

Archiving, Validation and Interpretation of Satellite Oceanographic data

C3S

Copernicus Climate Change Service

CDR

Climate Data Records

CF

Climate Forecasting

CLS

Collecte Localisation Satellites

CNES

Centre National d'Etude Spatiale

CTOH

Center for Topographic studies of the Ocean and Hydrosphere

ECMWF

European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts

ECV

Essential Climate Variable

EODC

Earth Observation Data Center

ERS

European Remote Sensing

ESA

European Space Agency

GCMD

Global Change Master Directory

GCOS

Global Climate Observing System

GDR

Geophysical Data Record

GEMET

General Multilingual Environmental Thesaurus

GFO

Geosat-Follow-On

HYSOPE

HYdrométrie Spatiale OPErationelle

ICDR

Intermediate Climate Data Record

IGDR

Interim Geophysical Data Record

LEGOS

Laboratoire d'Etudes en Géophysique et Océanographie Spatiales

LK

Lake

LWL

Lake Water Level

NASA

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

NTC

Non Time Critical

OCOG

Offset Centre of Gravity

PUGS

Product User Guide and Specification

SAR

Synthetic Aperture Radar

SARAL

Satellite with Argos and Altika

SRAL

SAR Radar Altimeter

STC

Short Time Critical

TOPEX

TOPography EXperiment

WSH

Water Surface Height

General definitions

'Orbit' is one revolution around the Earth by the satellite.

A satellite 'Pass' is half a revolution of the Earth by the satellite from one extreme latitude to the opposite extreme latitude.

'Repeat Cycle' is the time period that elapses until the satellite flies over the same location again.

'Range' is the satellite-to-surface pseudo distance given from the 2-way travel time of the radar pulse from the satellite to the reflecting water body.

'Retracking' is the algorithm which computes the altimetric parameters (range, backscatter coefficient...) from the radar echoes.

'Altitude' is considered as the height over the reference ellipsoid (orthometric height).

'Mean Profile' is an average over several years of the surface heights with respect to geoid, computed following the satellite's repetitive tracks.

Scope of the document

The Product User Guide and Specification (PUGS) is the primary document that users need to read before handling the products. It gives an overview of the product characteristics, in terms of algorithm, technical characteristics, and main validation results. The Appendix A - Specifications contains the specification of the product, based on the statements of the lake ECV from GCOS.

Executive summary

The C3S Lake production system (C3S ECV LK) provides an operational service, generating lake surface water temperature and lake water level climate datasets for a wide variety of users within the climate change community. The present document covers the lake water level system. The water level products in the C3S aims at providing users with water level time series on lakes located beneath satellites tracks. Since satellite altimetry is not an imagery technique (measurements being only possible at nadir), both the ground coverage and the temporal repeatability is strongly dependent on the orbital characteristics of the altimeters.

This Product User Guide and Specification (PUGS) is a self-contained document which gathers all necessary information to use the Water Level products on an efficient and reliable way.

1. Data description

Hydrological information is traditionally obtained via ground-based observation systems and networks that suffer from well-known inherent problems: high cost, sparse coverage (often limited to political local/national instead of geographical/hydrological boundaries), slow dissemination of data, heterogeneous temporal coverage, destruction of the stations during floods, absence of stations in remote areas, absence of management strategy, etc.

Although originally conceived to study open ocean processes, the radar altimeter satellites have nevertheless acquired numerous useful measurements over lakes. This technique, that can complement ground-based observations systems, potentially provides a major improvement in the field of continental hydrology, due to the global coverage (however limited to Earth's portion at nadir of the orbital ground tracks), regular temporal sampling and short delivery delays.

Early studies rapidly demonstrated the great potential of satellite altimetry to monitor large continental water bodies such as the Caspian Sea or the East African lakes (Birkett, 1995; Birkett et al, 1998; Mercier et al., 2002). However, these studies also raised many important issues related to the need of a dedicated treatment and interpretation of the measurements acquired over continental waters. More specifically, the radar echoes (waveforms) returned by inland waters can strongly differ from those returned by the ocean (because of the contamination of the signal by reflections over emerged lands), thus altering the accuracy of the height retrievals.

However, the recognition of these systems by the hydrological community is increasing, and new altimeter sensors are currently being designed following the requirements expressed by hydrologists for scientific use but also for the water resources management operational services that are emerging. For the moment, the scientific use is preponderant (Crétaux et al, 2011) and mainly concerns the global scale: monitoring of large climatically sensitive lakes, or the study of the temporal water masses redistribution within a large basin.

1.1. The retrieval methodology

1.1.1. Background

1.1.1.1. Satellite Radar Altimetry

Radar altimetry from space consists of vertical range measurements between the satellite and water level. Difference between the satellite altitude above a reference surface (usually a conventional ellipsoid), determined through precise orbit computation, and satellite-water surface distance, provides measurements of water level above the reference. Placed onto a repeat orbit, the altimeter satellite overflies a given region at regular time intervals (called the orbital cycle), during which a complete coverage of the Earth is performed.

Water level measurement by satellite altimetry has been developed and optimized for open oceans. Nevertheless, the technique is now applied to obtain water levels of inland seas, lakes, rivers, floodplains and wetlands. Several satellite altimetry missions have been launched since the early 1990s : ERS-1/RA (1991-1996), TOPEX/Poseidon (1992-2006), ERS-2/RA (1995-2005), GFO (2000-2008), Jason-1 (2001-2012), ENVISAT/RA-2 (2002-2012), Jason-2 (2008-), Cryosat-2 (2010-), HY-2A (2011-), SARAL/AltiKa (2013-), Sentinel-3A (2016-). Sentinel-3B data is not used in the current version. . ERS-1, ERS-2, ENVISAT and SARAL have a 35-day temporal resolution (duration of the orbital cycle) and 80 km inter-track spacing at the equator. TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2 and Jason-3 have a 10-day orbital cycle and 350 km equatorial inter-track spacing. GFO has a 17-day orbital cycle and 170 km equatorial intertrack spacing. Sentinel-3A orbit has a revisit time of 27 days and its inter-tracking separation is 104 km. It will be reduced to 52 km in a two-satellite configuration (Sentinel-3A and B). The Figure 1 shows the Jason passes over some Russian lakes. The combined global altimetry data set has more than 20 year-long history and is intended to be continuously updated in the coming decade. Combining altimetry data from several in-orbit altimetry missions increases the space-time resolution of the sensed hydrological variables.

Figure 1: TOPEX/Poseidon (Jason1, Jason 2 and Jason 3) passes over the lakes Balkash, Yssik Koul, Alakol and Saysan. Note that in between those passes, no measurements are made by these satellites.

1.1.1.2. Computing surface height

Figure 2: Altimetry principle (Credit CNES – Mira production)

For all satellites, the following operation is done:

Surface Height = altitude – corrected_range

With:

Corrected_range = range + Wet_tropo + Dry_ tropo + iono + polar tide + solid earth tide

"Wet_tropo" is a correction to account for the delay of the radar signal due the wet part of the atmosphere.
"Dry_tropo" is a correction to account for the delay of the radar signal due the dry part of the atmosphere.
"Iono" is a correction to account for the delay of the radar signal due the electronic content of the ionosphere.
"Polar Tide" and "Solid Earth Tide" are two corrections that account for the temporal deformation at the Earth' surface.

Note that for SARAL/AltiKa, ionospheric correction is not taken into account due to the frequency used for this mission (Ka-band), which is not sensitive to the ionosphere electron content.

Finally, the water surface height is expressed with respect to the geoid:

Water Surface Height = Surface Height – geoid

The geoid value considered here is extracted from a mean profile file over large lakes.

1.1.2. Processing

Altimetry missions used are repetitive, i.e. the satellite overflies the same point at a given time interval (10, 27, 35 days… depending on the satellite). The satellite usually does not deviate from more than +/- 1 km across its track.

A given lake can be flown over by several satellites, with potentially several passes, depending on its surface area.

In the current version of the product, 94 lakes are monitored. Among them, 33 lakes are updated with, Jason-3 data, 8 with Sentinel-3A data and 53 with both Jason-3 and Sentinel-3A SRAL data. Several passes can be used to derive the lakes' LWL timeseries according to their surface areas. The term "lakes" refers to lakes or reservoirs.

Input data

Past lake levels are based on merged TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2, Envisat, SARAL, IceSat and GFO data provided by ESA, NASA and CNES data centers. Updates include Jason-3 and Sentinel-3A respectively provided by CNES data center and Copernicus Hub.

  • Altimetry data consist in Non Time Critical (NTC) and Short Time Critical (STC) data, they are respectively available about 2/3 days and 1 month after measurements acquisition. We advise the user that NTC and STC nomenclature are used for S3A data (since these data are provided by Eumetsat), these denominations correspond respectively to GDR and IGDR for Jason3 (data provided by CNES, hence CNES nomenclature is used). These 2 types of files both include the altimetric measurements as well as the necessary corrections for their exploitation (orbit, atmospheric corrections…). GDR data were used for time series initialization, IGDR data are now used for operational processing. GDR are still used for the research products. The main differences between GDR and IGDR data reside in the orbit and radiometer derived values (GDR benefit from more precise values as well as more recent GDR calibrations). Differences between these corrections are of the order of a few cm.
  • Mean along-track profile over the lakes
  • Location information, including missions and track number for all the processed lakes


Method

The altimeter range measurements used for lakes consist of 1 Hz IGDR and GDR data. All classical corrections (orbit, ionospheric and tropospheric corrections, polar and solid Earth tides and sea state bias) are applied. Depending on the size of the lake, the satellite data may be averaged over very long distances. It is thus necessary to correct for the slope of the geoid (or equivalently, the mean lake level). Because the reference geoid provided with the altimetry measurements (e.g., EGM96 for T/P data or EGM2008 for Sentinel-3A) may not be accurate enough, we have computed a mean lake level, averaging over time the altimetry measurements themselves. Such mean lake level surface along each satellite track across the lake provides a better estimate of the model geoid. Mean profiles are therefore used for lake water level computations which are then referenced with respect to this estimate of the geoid. If different satellites cover the same lake, the lake level is computed in a 3-step process:

  • Extraction of input data: including an editing to remove erroneous measurement
  • Lake level computation and filtering
  • Generation of output NetCDF files, including lake water level

Each satellite data is processed independently. Potential radar instrument biases between different satellites are removed using T/P data as reference. We generally observe an increased precision of lake levels when multi-satellite processing is applied.

1.2. Limitations of the product

The lake processing chain, initially developed at LEGOS, are based on the use of altimetry measurements from the CTOH database (Center for Topography of the Oceans of LEGOS), including for Envisat GDRs. This database includes in addition some enhanced corrections that are not in the data sets of institutional suppliers (Aviso, ESA), such as for the wet and dry tropospheric as well as for the ionospheric corrections. As part of the online version of HYSOPE, these tailored corrections are replaced by default by their corresponding standard corrections included in the operational input products. On the other hand, a module for calculating the height of the geoid has been developed in the operational chain, starting from a grid provided by the LEGOS.

2. Product description

The product provides estimation of water level relative to a reference at times of satellite overpasses the lake. It also contains the standard deviation associated to this measurement and the time of overpass. The product also contains the metadata necessary for a good understanding.

2.1. Product content

The product contains all the descriptive metadata in the global attributes of the netCDF file (Table 1):

Table 1: Metadata included in the product files

Attribute

Value

title

Lake Water Level from satellite altimetry

lake

Name of the lake (full name), in local language wherever possible (a choice might be done if the lake shores several different countries)

basin

hydrological basin or catchment name (full name), in English

country

names (full name) of the countries where the lake is located (several names possible)

lake_barycentre_latitude

Decimal degrees north

lake_barycentre_longitude

Decimal degrees east

institution

LEGOS, CLS, CNES

source

Original data source

history

Processing history of the dataset

references

http://hydroweb.theia-land.fr/

convention

CF convention

product_version

Product version of the data file

summary

A paragraph describing the dataset

id

File name

naming_authority

fr.legos.cls

keywords_vocabulary

GEMET, GCMD and iso19115 keywords

gcmd_keywords

GCMD (Global Change Master Directory) keywords relative to the present product

gemet_keywords

GEMET (GEneral Multilingual Environmental Thesaurus) keywords relative to the present product

iso19115_topic_categories

ISO 19115 keywords relative to the present product

cdm_data_type

vector

comment

Miscellaneous information about the data

date_created

The date on which the data was generated

creator_name

LEGOS, CLS, CNES

creator_url

http://www.legos.obs-mip.fr, https://www.cls.fr/, https://cnes.fr/

creator_email

contact.hydroweb@cls.fr

project

Copernicus Climate Change Service - C3S

geospatial_lat_min

Decimal degrees north

geospatial_lat_max

Decimal degrees north

geospatial_lon_min

Decimal degrees east

geospatial_lon_max

Decimal degrees east

time_coverage_start

YYYY-MM-DD

time_coverage_end

YYYY-MM-DD

time_coverage_duration

ISO8601 duration string

standard_name_vocabulary

NetCDF Climate and Forecast (CF)

license

Data access and distribution

platform

Satellite name

sensor

Sensor name

key_variables

Comma separate list of the key variables in the file

processing_mode

Delayed Time

processing_level

LEVEL3B

Copyright

Copernicus Climate Change Service

inspire_theme

Hydrography

Credit

Lake and River Water Level products are generated by Theia-land program supported by CNES (

http://hydroweb.theia-land.fr). Cretaux J-F., Jelinski W., Calmant S., et al., 2011. SOLS: A lake database to monitor in the Near Real Time water level and storage variations from remote sensing data, Advances in space Research, 47, 1497-1507

The data is provided as a variable in the netCDF file as indicated in Table 2

Table 2: Variables in the Lake Water Level product

time

Days since 1950-01-01

water_surface_height_above_reference_datum

water Surface height above surface of reference in meters

water_surface_height_uncertainty

standard deviation from height of high frequency measurements used in the estimation

2.2. Product characteristics

2.2.1. Projection and grid information

Longitude and Latitude values are expressed with respect to the WGS84 ellipsoid.

Water level values are geoidal heights expressed with respect to the EGM2008 model, unless stated different in the header of the product.

2.2.2. Spatial information

As described above, the water level heights can only be measured right below the satellite's orbital ground tracks (nadir), if favourable measurement conditions are encountered. Unfortunately, it is not always possible to retrieve valuable measurements at each crossing between hydrographic networks and satellites ground tracks.

In addition, given the inclination of the orbit of some altimetry missions, such as Jason-3 that is limited to +/- 66° in latitude, some targets may not be flown over in the Arctic region.
The ground track coverage of all altimetry missions can be found on AVISO website: http://www.aviso.altimetry.fr/en/data/tools/pass-locator.html.

As an example, the offset between 2 ground tracks at the Equator is 315 km for Jason-3 tracks (10-days revisit time) and 80 km for Envisat (35-days revisit time).

2.2.3. Temporal information

Lake Water Level series are updated each time a given satellite cross the lake or if several satellites fly over the lake. It implies the updated time does not depend on the duration of one orbital cycle: 10 days for Jason-3, 35 days for Envisat, 28 days for Sentinel-3a, it may be more frequent.

3. Target requirements

The target requirements and the gap with the current product characteristics are described in the Target Requirement and Gap Analysis Document [D1.LK.1]. The Table 3 summarizes the characteristics of the C3S LWL product and their contrast with target requirements.

Table 3: User requirements

Property

Target

Threshold

Spatial Coverage

Global

Global

Spatial Resolution

Lake area: 1 km2

Lakes area: 1000 km2

Temporal Coverage

More than 25 years

10 years

Temporal Resolution

Daily

1-10 days

Standard uncertainty

3 cm for large lakes, 10 cm for the remainder

15 cm

Stability

1cm/decade


4. Data usage information

4.1. File naming

Files are named:

C3S_LWL_<lakename>altimetry<version><time_coverage_start><time_coverage_end>_R<file_generation_date>.nc

Where

<lakename> is the name of the lake, in English or the Local name
<version> is the product version number

4.2. File format

The actual format is netCDF-4 Classic Model

4.3. Quicklook

For the lake Zhari-namco, in China, the time series has been computed since January 1993, starting with Topex/Poseidon until to 2002, Jason-1 between 2002 and 2008, Jason-2 between 2008 and 2016, and Jason-3 since October 2016. The Table 4 illustrates the content of the header for the netCDF file and Figure 3 the corresponding time series.

Table 4: Header of the netCDF file for the lake Zhari-namco

dimensions:
    time = UNLIMITED ; // (471 currently)
variables:
    double time(time) ;
        time:standard_name = "time" ;
        time:long_name = "time" ;
        time:units = "days since 1950-01-01" ;
        time:calendar = "gregorian" ;
    double water_surface_height_above_reference_datum(time) ;
        water_surface_height_above_reference_datum:_FillValue = -32767. ;
        water_surface_height_above_reference_datum:standard_name = "water_surface_height_above_reference_datum" ;
        water_surface_height_above_reference_datum:long_name = "water surface height above geoid" ;
        water_surface_height_above_reference_datum:units = "m" ;
        water_surface_height_above_reference_datum:unit_long = "Meters" ;
    double water_surface_height_uncertainty(time) ;
        water_surface_height_uncertainty:_FillValue = -32767. ;
        water_surface_height_uncertainty:standard_name = "water_surface_height_uncertainty" ;
        water_surface_height_uncertainty:long_name = "water surface height uncertainty" ;
        water_surface_height_uncertainty:units = "m" ;
        water_surface_height_uncertainty:unit_long = "Meters" ;

// global attributes:
        :title = "Lake Water Level from satellite altimetry" ;
        :lake = "Zhari-Namco" ;
        :basin = " Mongolian " ;
        :country = " China" ;
        :lake_barycentre_latitude = "30.90 N" ;
        :lake_barycentre_longitude = "85.60 E" ;
        :institution = "LEGOS, CLS, CNES" ;
        :source = "Hydroweb" ;
        :history = "Created on 20192020-01-0930" ;
        :references = "https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/ ";

        :conventions = "CF-1.7" ;
        :product_version = "v1.0" ;
        :summary = " Copernicus Lake Water Level database contains time series over water levels of large lakes around the world" ;
        :id = "C3S_LWL_ZHARI-NAMCO_altimetry_V2.0_19930113_20180907_R20180909.nc" ;
        :naming_authority = "fr.legos.cls" ;
        :keywords_vocabulary = "GCMD, GEMET and is19115 keywords" ;
        :gcmd_keywords = "TERRESTRIAL HYDROSPHERE, SURFACE WATER" ;
        :gemet_keywords = "water level, water management, hydrometry, hydrology, climate, seasonal variation, environmental data, environmental monitoring, monitoring, remote sensing" ;
        :iso19115_topic_categories = "elevation,inlandWaters" ;
        :cdm_data_type = "vector" ;
        :comment = "" ;
        :date_created = "2020-01-29-09-09" ;
        :creator_name = "LEGOS, CLS, CNES" ;
        :creator_url = "http://www.legos.obs-mip.fr, https://www.cls.fr/, https://cnes.fr/" ;
        :creator_email = "contact.hydroweb@cls.fr" ;
        :project = "Copernicus Climate Change Service - C3S" ;
        :geospatial_lat_min = -90. ;
        :geospatial_lat_max = 90. ;
        :geospatial_lon_min = -180. ;
        :geospatial_lon_max = 180. ;
        :time_coverage_start = "1993-01-13" ;
        :time_coverage_end = "2018-09-07" ;
        :time_coverage_duration = "P26Y0M2D" ;
        :standard_name_vocabulary = "NetCDF Climate and Forecast (CF)" ;
        :license = "Free after registration" ;
        :platform = "Topex/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2, Jason-3, Envisat, GFO, SARAL, Sentinel3" ;
        :sensor = "Poseidon Ku, Poseidon 2Ku, Poseidon 3Ku, Poseidon 3Bku, RA-2, RA Ku, Altika Ka, SRAL Ku" ;
        :key_variables = "water_surface_height_above_reference_datum, water_surface_height_uncertainty" ;
        :processing_mode = "Delayed Time" ;
        :processing_level = "LEVEL3B" ;
        :copyright = "Copernicus Climate Change Service" ;
        :inspire_theme = "Hydrography" ;
        :credit = " Lake Water Level products are generated by the Copernicus Climate Change Servis, the Earth Observation Programme of the European Commission and the Theia-land program supported by CNES. The research leading to the current version of the product has received funding from CNES, LEGOS, IRD and CLS." ;






Figure 3: Water level series for the lake Zhari-namco

Appendix A - Specifications

The following table contains the user Requirements for Water Level as described in GCOS:

Content of the dataset

Content of the main file

The data file shall contain the following information on separate layers:

  • Water Level value
  • A measure of the uncertainty

Spatial and temporal features

Spatial coverage

The product shall be distributed globally based on an harmonized identification of the products. The area of the lakes must be at least 1kmx1km

Temporal coverage

Times series of 10 years minimum are required

Temporal resolution

  • A monthly composite of the product shall be distributed
  • A 10-day composite of the product shall be distributed

Data uncertainties

Threshold

15 cm

Target

3cm for large lakes, 10 cm for the remainder

Format requirements

Format

NetCDF, CF Convention

References

SOLS: A Lake database to monitor in Near Real Time water level and storage variations from remote sensing data, J. Adv. Space Res. Vol 47, 9, 1497-1507, doi:10.1016/j.asr.2011.01.004, 2011 Crétaux J-F , W. Jelinski , S. Calmant , A. Kouraev , V. Vuglinski , M. Bergé Nguyen , M-C. Gennero, F. Nino, R. Abarca Del Rio , A. Cazenave , P. Maisongrande

Lake studies from satellite altimetry, C R Geoscience, Vol 338, 14-15, 1098-1112, doi: 10.1016/j.crte.2006.08.002, 2006 Crétaux J-F and C. Birkett

A new Global Lakes Database for a remote sensing programme studying climatically sensitive lakes, J. Great Lakes Res., 21 (3), 307-318. Birkett, C.M., Mason, I.M., 1995.

Lake volume monitoring from space. Surveys in Geophysics37(2), 269-305. Crétaux, J. F., Abarca-del-Río, R., Berge-Nguyen, M., Arsen, A., Drolon, V., Clos, G., & Maisongrande, P., 2016.

C. Birkett 1995. The global remote sensing of lakes, wetlands and rivers fro hydrological and climate research. International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS'95. Quantitative Remote Sensing for Science and Applications.

C. Birkett 1998. Contribution of the TOPEX NASA Radar Altimeter to the global monitoring of large rivers and wetlands. AGU1000. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/98WR00124

F. Mercier et Al. 2002. Interannual lake level fluctuations (1993-1999) in Africa from Topex/Poseidon: connections with ocean-atmosphere interactions over the Indian Ocean. Global and Planetary Change.


This document has been produced in the context of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).

The activities leading to these results have been contracted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, operator of C3S on behalf of the European Union (Delegation Agreement signed on 11/11/2014 and Contribution Agreement signed on 22/07/2021). All information in this document is provided "as is" and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose.

The users thereof use the information at their sole risk and liability. For the avoidance of all doubt , the European Commission and the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts have no liability in respect of this document, which is merely representing the author's view.

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