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This page provides an overview of regional forecast skill for the MAM 2026 period. Forecast scores are updated automatically every week throughout the competitive period. The current data includes 3 forecasts initialized between Thursday 12th February 2026 and Thursday 26th February 2026 (inclusive). For a detailed description of the outputs, please refer to the section's overview.

Regional skill score files

All regional RPSSs are available to download via the following link:

MAM 2026 Regional RPSSs (Excel format)

Regional scores for the top 10 teams of global, period-aggregated, variable-averaged RPSSs

Team name	Team rank	Model name	Model rank	Global	Tropics	NHem. ExTro.	SHem. ExTro.	NHem. Polar	SHem. Polar	Europe	N. Amer.	S. Amer.	Africa	Asia	Oceania
CMAandFDU	1	FengshunHybrid	1	0.087	0.117	0.078	0.006	0.052	0.077	0.044	0.125	0.036	0.067	0.083	0.144
CMAandFDU	1	FengshunAdjust	5	0.077	0.105	0.08	0.001	-0.016	0.089	0.059	0.088	0.028	0.097	0.078	0.098
CMAandFDU	1	Fengshun	15	0.037	0.036	0.024	0.011	0.076	0.032	0.003	0.085	-0.019	0.022	0.043	0.088
AIFS	2	AIFSgaia	2	0.083	0.104	0.081	-0.015	0.06	0.078	0.009	0.153	0.01	0.061	0.091	0.143
AIFS	2	AIFSthalassa	8	0.066	0.079	0.064	0.015	0.054	0.05	-0.034	0.179	-0.024	0.065	0.078	0.081
AIFS	2	AIFShera	11	0.052	0.059	0.054	-0.02	0.057	0.047	-0.078	0.128	-0.063	0.0	0.098	0.097
MicroEnsemble	3	Huracan	3	0.08	0.114	0.057	-0.006	0.051	0.072	0.045	0.101	0.07	0.054	0.061	0.173
MicroEnsemble	3	MicroDuet	6	0.075	0.105	0.065	0.015	0.024	0.071	0.054	0.085	0.06	0.061	0.055	0.16
MicroEnsemble	3	StillLearning	10	0.057	0.071	0.068	0.019	0.021	0.066	0.06	0.065	0.023	0.036	0.053	0.156
LP	4	LPM	4	0.079	0.108	0.054	0.015	0.075	0.07	-0.014	0.114	0.026	0.052	0.078	0.168
CLINT	5	CLINTDD	7	0.066	0.091	0.041	0.017	0.066	0.065	-0.019	0.128	0.066	-0.015	0.045	0.181
CLINT	5	CLINTMF	9	0.064	0.088	0.039	0.009	0.073	0.066	-0.027	0.123	0.055	-0.018	0.046	0.18
CLINT	5	CLINTSE	12	0.05	0.072	0.033	0.004	0.06	0.023	-0.034	0.133	0.049	-0.043	0.023	0.173
scienceAI	6	zephyr	13	0.043	0.039	0.056	0.003	0.031	0.041	0.077	0.086	0.048	0.013	0.05	0.035
scienceAI	6	ngcm	14	0.039	0.033	0.065	0.014	0.061	-0.015	0.079	0.063	0.045	-0.018	0.077	0.061
scienceAI	6	findforecast	23	-0.026	-0.063	0.008	-0.033	-0.025	0.028	0.027	0.006	-0.033	-0.097	-0.03	-0.066
JR	7	slowMamba	16	0.034	0.049	0.033	-0.004	0.065	-0.052	-0.014	0.129	0.044	0.033	0.035	0.067
IgnisNeuralis42	8	GCast42	17	0.029	0.034	0.036	-0.026	0.002	0.062	0.093	0.021	0.038	0.009	0.013	0.009
UWAtmosNVIDIA	9	DLESyMS2Sv1	18	0.028	0.031	0.017	-0.061	0.023	0.074	0.032	0.022	-0.043	0.04	0.027	0.059
SBUHybrid	10	HybridPPx	19	0.02	0.002	0.035	0.01	0.089	-0.007	-0.026	0.088	-0.054	0.024	0.019	0.022
SBUHybrid	10	HybridAC	21	0.005	-0.024	0.013	0.009	0.071	0.025	-0.037	0.05	-0.046	-0.002	-0.001	-0.03

Team name	Team rank	Model name	Model rank	Global	Tropics	NHem. ExTro.	SHem. ExTro.	NHem. Polar	SHem. Polar	Europe	N. Amer.	S. Amer.	Africa	Asia	Oceania
CMAandFDU	1	FengshunHybrid	1	0.055	0.074	0.05	-0.01	0.019	0.046	0.047	0.069	-0.004	0.073	0.071	0.067
CMAandFDU	1	Fengshun	5	0.038	0.056	0.022	-0.01	-0.0	0.028	-0.048	0.106	0.001	0.063	0.012	0.075
CMAandFDU	1	FengshunAdjust	7	0.036	0.068	0.029	-0.018	-0.065	0.047	0.039	0.041	-0.012	0.097	0.028	0.036
MicroEnsemble	2	Huracan	2	0.049	0.07	0.042	-0.048	0.043	0.035	0.043	0.059	0.032	0.031	0.073	0.087
MicroEnsemble	2	MicroDuet	4	0.041	0.053	0.042	-0.017	0.017	0.042	0.053	0.033	0.033	0.023	0.055	0.063
MicroEnsemble	2	StillLearning	11	0.03	0.034	0.039	-0.013	0.008	0.032	0.048	0.023	0.02	0.005	0.051	0.059
LP	3	LPM	3	0.043	0.064	0.02	-0.007	0.041	0.039	-0.027	0.064	-0.013	0.045	0.06	0.065
CLINT	4	CLINTDD	6	0.037	0.052	0.011	-0.017	0.041	0.042	-0.01	0.069	-0.014	0.029	0.041	0.087
CLINT	4	CLINTMF	9	0.035	0.046	0.013	-0.022	0.045	0.046	-0.013	0.072	-0.025	0.022	0.044	0.083
CLINT	4	CLINTSE	15	0.018	0.03	-0.003	-0.026	0.032	0.009	-0.02	0.052	-0.038	0.003	0.024	0.082
AIFS	5	AIFSgaia	8	0.036	0.05	0.028	-0.0	0.01	0.038	-0.007	0.089	-0.033	0.071	0.027	0.03
AIFS	5	AIFShera	16	0.018	0.01	0.03	-0.025	0.059	0.032	-0.02	0.092	-0.051	-0.016	0.041	-0.034
AIFS	5	AIFSthalassa	21	-0.018	-0.066	0.035	0.012	0.001	0.022	-0.022	0.08	-0.143	-0.053	0.019	-0.057
IgnisNeuralis42	6	GCast42	10	0.03	0.049	0.021	-0.008	-0.057	0.051	0.039	-0.013	0.039	0.062	0.028	-0.008
SBUHybrid	7	HybridPPx	12	0.024	0.012	0.043	-0.029	0.081	-0.002	-0.014	0.064	-0.047	0.056	0.06	-0.044
SBUHybrid	7	HybridAC	19	0.004	-0.013	0.029	-0.024	0.025	0.006	-0.002	0.022	-0.027	0.031	0.022	-0.063
JR	8	slowMamba	13	0.022	0.038	0.021	0.001	0.012	-0.054	-0.014	0.072	0.007	0.016	0.046	0.037
UWAtmosNVIDIA	9	DLESyMS2Sv1	14	0.019	0.036	-0.008	-0.035	0.01	0.03	-0.002	0.027	0.004	0.072	0.013	-0.018
scienceAI	10	zephyr	17	0.016	0.011	0.034	-0.006	-0.013	0.022	0.046	0.057	0.015	-0.021	0.01	-0.025
scienceAI	10	ngcm	18	0.014	0.009	0.033	0.005	0.004	-0.012	0.032	0.065	0.029	-0.034	0.011	-0.018
scienceAI	10	findforecast	22	-0.03	-0.073	0.008	-0.017	-0.005	0.006	0.035	-0.01	-0.024	-0.095	-0.018	-0.088