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 Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Ivan, Linus

 

 

Picture

1. Impact

During the first week of January the north-eastern central and south-eastern part of Europe was hit by a cold spell resulting in temperatures below 40C in Sweden and Finland and temperatures below 30C far down on the continent. In connection, many countries in southern and south-eastern Europe (e.g Italy, Greece and Turkey) were hit by severe snowfall.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-38546998

2. Description of the event


The plots below shows analyses of z500 and t850 for the period 2-9 January.


The plots below show EFI and SOT for 2-metre temperature day 1 as a proxy for analysis of how extreme the temperature were from 2 to 9 January.


3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES


3.3 ENS


3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show weekly temperature anomalies for 2-8 January.



3.5 Comparison with other centres


4. Experience from general performance/other cases

 

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event


6. Additional material

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