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3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES


3.3 ENS


The plots below show the EFI for 2-metre temperature valid 22-25 January.

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The plot below shows the evolution of ensemble forecasts of 850 hPa temperature for Hong Kong valid 23-24 January.

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3.4 Monthly forecasts


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3.5 Comparison with other centres

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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

  • Extreme forecasts at least 1 week in advance
  • Jumpy forecasts for 2-metre temperature (reported from Xiaohua Yang, DMI) see
    View file
    name20160126.20160126_SEChina_1.pdf
    height250


6. Additional material