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Expect about 20-25 participants.

Accommodation

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Concerning the accommodation it depends whether you want to be in Toulouse center or not.
If you want to be in Toulouse center there are plenty of choices : https://www.tripadvisor.fr/Hotels-g187175-Toulouse_Haute_Garonne_Midi_Pyrenees-Hotels.html
Maybe the Ibis and Mercure are cheaper than The Pullman... You'll have to take the metro and the bus to come to Meteo-France (approx 30 minutes)
If you want to be 2 minutes walk from Meteo France there is a B&B just next side of the road. But Meteo France neighborhood is not really amazing for a first visit in Toulouse...
I live in a small town called Cugnaux, at about 20 minutes from Toulouse. If you are interested I can catch you in the morning. Here is a nice address of a bed and breakfast, maybe a little expensive but with a huge breakfast in the morning : http://www.la-cognee.com/?lang=2

Topic

Storm Nadine. Case of extratropic transition & severe weather over France.

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Students background: 1st yr basic meteorology, 2nd yr statistical tools / numerics (they do small modelling project)

Work in groups: 5 x 4 persons, 2 per PC.

Facilities

PC running CentOS (based on redhat enterprise)

Language

Students have asked for more lessons in English.

English teachers will be there. Encourage students to write and speak in English.

Topic

Storm Nadine. Case of extratropic transition & severe weather over France.

Paper: Pantillon, F., Chaboureau, J.-P. and Richard, E. (2015), Vortex–vortex interaction between Hurricane Nadine (2012) and an Atlantic cut-off dropping the predictability over the Mediterranean. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. doi: 10.1002/qj.2635 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2635/abstract


Sensitivity - two main issues : Model resolution - to model interaction;  Convection processes.

Could focus on clustering of the ensemble ?  Different algorithms for clustering?

Tubing .v. clustering. see: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0434%281999%29014%3C0741%3ATAATCF%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Ask Linus about this.

Notes

SCM exercises - sensitvity of the model to changing physics. Focus on convection, initiation of deep convection. Stochastic physics, impact on convection? impact of convective scheme?

Do we want the students to run OpenIFS? - probably not enough time / resources

Interested in stochastic physics / ensemble methods.

Can we get observations from HyMEX to add to the metview exercises?

Focus on ensemble modelling and predictability.

Try to include some Hymex observations in metview VM?

Some questions to include:

  • how to weight extreme events in the ensemble?
  • clustering .v. tubing

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