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Tubing .v. clustering. see: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0434%281999%29014%3C0741%3ATAATCF%3E2.0.CO%3B2 Ask Linus about this.
TODO
Decide on forecasts: resolution, start date and lengths
PCA in Metview - speak to Linus (he says he has some Fortran code). Or could use R
Try to reproduce the plots in the article.
Notes
SCM exercises - sensitvity of the model to changing physics. Focus on convection, initiation of deep convection. Stochastic physics, impact on convection? impact of convective scheme?
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- how to weight extreme events in the ensemble?clustering .v. tubing
- what's the best way of doing ensembles if dont' want to miss extremes?
Travel & local arrangements
ENM is approx 20mins by car from the airport.