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Ensembles

RMSE curves Z500 for ensembleMSLP ensemble mean and spread
compared to analysis
MSLP ensemble spaghetti plot
Ensemble stamp map total precipitation over FranceEnsemble difference stamp map of z500Comparing MSLP of perturbed ensemble member to analysis
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Difference maps of two ensemble members to analysisCumulative distribution function MSLP for ensemble forecast
at Toulouse, France
 
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Principal component analysis and Clusters

After computing the EOFs a clustering can be applied to all of the above ensemble plots.

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EOF and PCA analyses of ensemble
spread for Z500 using clustering (top graph;
clusters shown as either red or blue dots).

Z500, ensemble mean of cluster 1 and 2
(top left & right respectively), compared
to HRES & analysis bottom.
Stamp difference map of MSLP with
clusters enabled. Maps are ordered
according to which cluster they are in

Stamp map of total precip. with
clustering enable. Maps are ordered
according to their cluster.

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Ensemble spaghetti plot with clusters. Top left and top right
show ensemble members in cluster 1 & 2 respectively.
Z500 RMSE curves with clusters.
Ensemble members in each cluster
are plotted separately.