Page History
...
Forecast probabilities often show systematic deviations from the observed frequencies. Low probabilities are often too low, high probabilities are often too high. Calibration of probabilities or statistical post-processing (MOS) can improve the reliability of the probability forecasts. This might affect the internal consistency between parameters. If an over-prediction of rain is coupled to an over-prediction of cloud and perhaps under-prediction of temperature, then ideally all the parameters should be calibrated jointly, in order to maintain a physical consistency.
(FUG Associated associated with Cy50r1)
Overview
Community Forums
Content Tools