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Note: HRES and Ensemble Control Forecast are scientifically, structurally and computationally identical. With effect from Cy49r1, Ensemble Control Forecast output is equivalent to HRES output shown in the diagrams. At the time of the diagrams, HRES had resolution of 9km and ensemble members had a resolution of 18km.
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Fig8.1.16.1-4: Sample wavegram (at the point indicated by the arrow in Fig8.1.16.1-3) for the same time as shown in Fig8.1.16.1-3. Note waves early on 10 January are forecast to move towards the westsouthwest with a small probability of significant wave height exceeding 10m. When referring to such products one must understand innate difficulties of correctly representing the winds around tropical cyclones, and this will also impact upon the representation of waves nearby.
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- Read more on ECMWF presentation of tropical cyclones (with up-to-date locations of TCs).
- See a quick look guide on interpreting tropical storm diagrams.
- WMO severe weather information centre gives world wide information on severe weather including tropical cyclones, Hurricanes, Typhoons etc.
- ECMWF tropical cyclone activity including genesis and ECMWF current cyclone activity for named storms.
- See ECMWF Newsletter, Summer 2020 issue for further explanatory information regarding Tropical Cyclone Wind Forecasts.
- Read more about forecasting tropical cyclones in the medium-range.
- Watch a webinar on tropical products and skill (30sec delay before start)
- Read more about tropical cyclone products in a Newsletter feature.
- Read more about tropical cyclone predictions at ECMWF in a Newsletter feature.
(FUG Associated associated with Cy50r1)