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Fig. 3. EFI/SOT for CAPE and max CAPE* in Siberia, illustrating that the latter may show up a bit more often.

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Fig. 4 a) Model climate 99th percentile for cape and mxcape6* valid for the end of April and b) an example of the EFI/SOT for cape and mxcape* and CDFs of corresponding model climate and real-time ensemble forecasts.
 

*Naming Conventions: We refer on this web page to "max CAPE" (or mxcape6) and "max CAPE-shear" (or mxcapes6) for distinguishing the EFI/SOT of these in cycles from 47r1, from the equivalents equivalent EFI/SOT fields used up to and including cycle 46r1, but in fact when the model changes the former literally replaces the latter. Therefore users will do not see any change in the naming - e.g. in ecCharts - and there will not be any additional EFI/SOT; instead the EFI and SOT for CAPE and CAPE-shear will continue to exist but they will use instead mxcape6 and mxcapes6.