1. Forecast system version
Identifier code: Météo-France System 8
First operational forecast run: July 2021
2. Configuration of the forecast model
Is the model coupled to an ocean model? Yes
Coupling frequency: 1 hour
2.1 Atmosphere and land surface
Model | ARPEGE v6.4 SURFEX v8 |
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Horizontal resolution and grid | TL359; 0.5° reduced Gauss grid |
Atmosphere vertical resolution | 137 layers |
Top of atmosphere | top layer 1 Pa |
Soil levels (layers) | 14 Layer 1 : 0 - 0.01 m |
Time step | 10 min |
Detailed documentation:
ARPEGE: http://www.umr-cnrm.fr/IMG/pdf/arp62ca.july2017.pdf
SURFEX: http://www.umr-cnrm.fr/surfex//IMG/pdf/surfex_scidoc_v8.1.pdf
2.2 Ocean and cryosphere
Ocean model | NEMO v3.6 |
---|---|
Horizontal resolution | 0.25° ORCA grid |
Vertical resolution | 75 levels |
Time step | 15 min |
Sea ice model | GELATO v6 |
Sea ice model resolution | 0.25° ORCA grid |
Sea ice model levels | 5 |
Wave model | None |
Wave model resolution | NA |
Detailed documentation:
NEMO: NEMO documentation
GELATO: GELATO documentation
3. Boundary conditions - climate forcings
Most forcing data comes from the CMIP6 protocol.
Greenhouse gases | Up to 2014, CMIP6 historical values of CO2, CH4, N2O, CFC11 and CFC12 from the CNRM-CM-6.1 run as described in Voldoire et al (2019). From 2015 onwards, greenhouse gas forcings follow the SSP3-7.0 scenario. |
---|---|
Ozone | Radiation scheme sees a seasonally varying but otherwise fixed climatological ozone field. The monthly climatology of ozone concentration is the average of a previous CMIP6 run by Michou et al (2020) over the period 1995-2014. |
Tropospheric aerosols | A monthly climatology of tropospheric aerosols is computed over the 1995-2014 period from a prior run using the interactive aerosol scheme TACTIC_v2 scheme. This run is described in detail in Michou et al (2020). |
Volcanic aerosols | Volcanic stratospheric aerosols are the official CMIP6 forcings provided by Thomason et al (2018). |
Solar forcing | Time-variation of total solar insolation (TSI) is specified from CMIP6 annual mean forcings provided by Matthes et al (2017) |
Detailed documentation:
Matthes, K., Funke, B., Andersson, M. E., Barnard, L., Beer, J., Charbonneau, P., et al. (2017). Solar forcing for CMIP6 (v3.2). Geoscientific Model Development, 10(6), 2247–2302. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd‐10‐2247‐2017
Michou, M., Nabat, P., Saint-Martin, D., Bock, J., Decharme, B., Mallet, M., Roehrig, R., Séférian, R., Sénési, S. and Voldoire, A. (2020). Present-day and historical aerosol and ozone characteristcs in CNRM CMIP6 simulatons. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, e2019MS001816, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001816
Thomason, L. W., Ernest, N., Millán, L., Rieger, L., Bourassa, A., Vernier, J. P., et al. (2018). A global space‐based stratospheric aerosol climatology: 1979–2016. Earth System Science Data, 10(1), 469–492. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd‐10‐469‐2018
Voldoire, A., Saint-Martn, D., Sénési, S., Decharme, B., Alias, A., Chevallier, M., et al (2019). Evaluation of CMIP6 DECK experiments with CNRM-CM6-1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001683
4. Initialization and initial condition (IC) perturbations
4.1 Atmosphere and land
Hindcast | Forecast | |
---|---|---|
Atmosphere initialization | ERA5 | ERA5T |
Atmosphere IC perturbations | None | None |
Land Initialization | ERA5 | ERA5T |
Land IC perturbations | None | None |
Soil moisture initialization | ERA5 | ERA5T |
Snow initialization | ERA5 | ERA5T |
Unperturbed control forecast? | NA | NA |
Detailed documentation: see ECMWF page
4.2 Ocean and cryosphere
Hindcast | Forecast | |
---|---|---|
Ocean initialization | GLORYS12V1 MERCATOR-OCEAN | PSY4V3R1 MERCATOR-OCEAN |
Ocean IC perturbations | None | None |
Unperturbed control forecast? | NA | NA |
Detailed documentation: https://www.mercator-ocean.fr/solutions-expertises/produits-references-mercator-ocean/
GLORYS12V1: https://data.marine.copernicus.eu/product/GLOBAL_MULTIYEAR_PHY_001_030/description
PSY4V3R1: https://www.mercator-ocean.eu/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/SYSTEM-sheet-_PSY4V3R1_2017.pdf
5. Model Uncertainties perturbations:
Model dynamics perturbations | Yes |
---|---|
Model physics perturbations | No |
If there is a control forecast, is it perturbed? | NA |
Detailed documentation: Batté, L. and Déqué, M., 2016: Randomly correcting model errors in the ARPEGE-Climate v6. 1 component of CNRM-CM: applications for seasonal forecasts, Geoscientific Model Development,9, 2055-2076, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2055-2016
6. Forecast system and hindcasts
Forecast frequency | month |
---|---|
Forecast ensemble size | 51 |
Hindcast years | 1993-2018 |
Hindcast ensemble size | 25 |
On-the-fly or static hindcast set? | static |
Calibration (bias correction) period | NA |
7. Other relevant information
Ensemble start dates
The forecast uses three start dates:
- The penultimate Thursday of the previous month (25 members in the forecasts, 12 members in the hindcasts)
- The last Thursday of the previous month (25 members in the forecasts, 12 members in the hindcasts)
- the 1st of the month (1 member in the forecast/hindcast)
Data assimilation method for analysis
Coupled initialization run nudged towards ERA5T (ERA5 in the hindcast) in the atmosphere and Mercator Ocean International analyses in the ocean. Sea ice initial conditions are provided by a separate NEMO-GELATO ORCA 0.25 forced run nudged towards the same ocean analyses.
Interpolation details
Météo-France System 8 is built on the CNRM-CM coupled climate model which embeds an output manager called the XIOS server (Meurdesoif et al, 2018). XIOS is an input/output parallel server software enabling to perform online field operations in the course of the model integration and writing the final result on NetCDF files. All operations such as time sampling, time averaging, horizontal regridding or vertical interpolation are specified through xml files and performed by XIOS such that no or little post-processing is needed: the only output files written on disk are the files featuring the requested C3S 1°x1° horizontal grid and pressure levels.
Horizontal Interpolation
The ARPEGE atmospheric model is a spectral model, and horizontal fields such as temperature or geopotential are originally computed as spherical harmonic coefficients, but can be converted into grid point data on the corresponding reduced Gaussian grid (e.g 0.5° reduced Gaussian grid for Tl359 spectral resolution) using an internal function of the model. The XIOS server can perform online interpolation of this grid point data on any user specified grid such as the rectilinear C3S 1°x1° grid. As for the oceanic fields from NEMO, they are internally defined as grid point data and can directly be interpolated by XIOS onto the 1°x1° grid. For both atmospheric and oceanic data, the interpolation method is a first order conservative remapping.
Vertical interpolation
ARPEGE uses sigma coordinates in the vertical, meaning that near-surface model levels follow the orography. Transformation into data on pressure levels is done directly on request by ARPEGE through a linear interpolation, or linear extrapolation for data below the surface.
Meurdesoif, Y. (2018) XIOS fortran reference guide. IPSL http://forge.ipsl.jussieu.fr/ioserver/svn/XIOS/trunk/doc/XIOS_reference_guide.pdf
8. Where to find more information
Technical implementation details can be found in http://www.umr-cnrm.fr/IMG/pdf/system8-technical.pdf