This page provides an overview of regional forecast skill for the MAM 2026 period. Forecast scores are updated automatically every week throughout the competitive period. The current data includes 3 forecasts initialized between Thursday 12th February 2026 and Thursday 26th February 2026 (inclusive). For a detailed description of the outputs, please refer to the section's overview .
Regional skill score files
All regional RPSSs are available to download via the following link:
MAM 2026 Regional RPSSs (Excel format)
Regional scores for the top 10 teams of global, period-aggregated, variable-averaged RPSSs
Forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Team name Team rank Model name Model rank Global Tropics NHem. ExTro. SHem. ExTro. NHem. Polar SHem. Polar Europe N. Amer. S. Amer. Africa Asia Oceania CMAandFDU 1 FengshunHybrid 1 0.087 0.117 0.078 0.006 0.052 0.077 0.044 0.125 0.036 0.067 0.083 0.144 CMAandFDU 1 FengshunAdjust 5 0.077 0.105 0.08 0.001 -0.016 0.089 0.059 0.088 0.028 0.097 0.078 0.098 CMAandFDU 1 Fengshun 15 0.037 0.036 0.024 0.011 0.076 0.032 0.003 0.085 -0.019 0.022 0.043 0.088 AIFS 2 AIFSgaia 2 0.083 0.104 0.081 -0.015 0.06 0.078 0.009 0.153 0.01 0.061 0.091 0.143 AIFS 2 AIFSthalassa 8 0.066 0.079 0.064 0.015 0.054 0.05 -0.034 0.179 -0.024 0.065 0.078 0.081 AIFS 2 AIFShera 11 0.052 0.059 0.054 -0.02 0.057 0.047 -0.078 0.128 -0.063 0.0 0.098 0.097 MicroEnsemble 3 Huracan 3 0.08 0.114 0.057 -0.006 0.051 0.072 0.045 0.101 0.07 0.054 0.061 0.173 MicroEnsemble 3 MicroDuet 6 0.075 0.105 0.065 0.015 0.024 0.071 0.054 0.085 0.06 0.061 0.055 0.16 MicroEnsemble 3 StillLearning 10 0.057 0.071 0.068 0.019 0.021 0.066 0.06 0.065 0.023 0.036 0.053 0.156 LP 4 LPM 4 0.079 0.108 0.054 0.015 0.075 0.07 -0.014 0.114 0.026 0.052 0.078 0.168 CLINT 5 CLINTDD 7 0.066 0.091 0.041 0.017 0.066 0.065 -0.019 0.128 0.066 -0.015 0.045 0.181 CLINT 5 CLINTMF 9 0.064 0.088 0.039 0.009 0.073 0.066 -0.027 0.123 0.055 -0.018 0.046 0.18 CLINT 5 CLINTSE 12 0.05 0.072 0.033 0.004 0.06 0.023 -0.034 0.133 0.049 -0.043 0.023 0.173 scienceAI 6 zephyr 13 0.043 0.039 0.056 0.003 0.031 0.041 0.077 0.086 0.048 0.013 0.05 0.035 scienceAI 6 ngcm 14 0.039 0.033 0.065 0.014 0.061 -0.015 0.079 0.063 0.045 -0.018 0.077 0.061 scienceAI 6 findforecast 23 -0.026 -0.063 0.008 -0.033 -0.025 0.028 0.027 0.006 -0.033 -0.097 -0.03 -0.066 JR 7 slowMamba 16 0.034 0.049 0.033 -0.004 0.065 -0.052 -0.014 0.129 0.044 0.033 0.035 0.067 IgnisNeuralis42 8 GCast42 17 0.029 0.034 0.036 -0.026 0.002 0.062 0.093 0.021 0.038 0.009 0.013 0.009 UWAtmosNVIDIA 9 DLESyMS2Sv1 18 0.028 0.031 0.017 -0.061 0.023 0.074 0.032 0.022 -0.043 0.04 0.027 0.059 SBUHybrid 10 HybridPPx 19 0.02 0.002 0.035 0.01 0.089 -0.007 -0.026 0.088 -0.054 0.024 0.019 0.022 SBUHybrid 10 HybridAC 21 0.005 -0.024 0.013 0.009 0.071 0.025 -0.037 0.05 -0.046 -0.002 -0.001 -0.03
Forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Team name Team rank Model name Model rank Global Tropics NHem. ExTro. SHem. ExTro. NHem. Polar SHem. Polar Europe N. Amer. S. Amer. Africa Asia Oceania CMAandFDU 1 FengshunHybrid 1 0.055 0.074 0.05 -0.01 0.019 0.046 0.047 0.069 -0.004 0.073 0.071 0.067 CMAandFDU 1 Fengshun 5 0.038 0.056 0.022 -0.01 -0.0 0.028 -0.048 0.106 0.001 0.063 0.012 0.075 CMAandFDU 1 FengshunAdjust 7 0.036 0.068 0.029 -0.018 -0.065 0.047 0.039 0.041 -0.012 0.097 0.028 0.036 MicroEnsemble 2 Huracan 2 0.049 0.07 0.042 -0.048 0.043 0.035 0.043 0.059 0.032 0.031 0.073 0.087 MicroEnsemble 2 MicroDuet 4 0.041 0.053 0.042 -0.017 0.017 0.042 0.053 0.033 0.033 0.023 0.055 0.063 MicroEnsemble 2 StillLearning 11 0.03 0.034 0.039 -0.013 0.008 0.032 0.048 0.023 0.02 0.005 0.051 0.059 LP 3 LPM 3 0.043 0.064 0.02 -0.007 0.041 0.039 -0.027 0.064 -0.013 0.045 0.06 0.065 CLINT 4 CLINTDD 6 0.037 0.052 0.011 -0.017 0.041 0.042 -0.01 0.069 -0.014 0.029 0.041 0.087 CLINT 4 CLINTMF 9 0.035 0.046 0.013 -0.022 0.045 0.046 -0.013 0.072 -0.025 0.022 0.044 0.083 CLINT 4 CLINTSE 15 0.018 0.03 -0.003 -0.026 0.032 0.009 -0.02 0.052 -0.038 0.003 0.024 0.082 AIFS 5 AIFSgaia 8 0.036 0.05 0.028 -0.0 0.01 0.038 -0.007 0.089 -0.033 0.071 0.027 0.03 AIFS 5 AIFShera 16 0.018 0.01 0.03 -0.025 0.059 0.032 -0.02 0.092 -0.051 -0.016 0.041 -0.034 AIFS 5 AIFSthalassa 21 -0.018 -0.066 0.035 0.012 0.001 0.022 -0.022 0.08 -0.143 -0.053 0.019 -0.057 IgnisNeuralis42 6 GCast42 10 0.03 0.049 0.021 -0.008 -0.057 0.051 0.039 -0.013 0.039 0.062 0.028 -0.008 SBUHybrid 7 HybridPPx 12 0.024 0.012 0.043 -0.029 0.081 -0.002 -0.014 0.064 -0.047 0.056 0.06 -0.044 SBUHybrid 7 HybridAC 19 0.004 -0.013 0.029 -0.024 0.025 0.006 -0.002 0.022 -0.027 0.031 0.022 -0.063 JR 8 slowMamba 13 0.022 0.038 0.021 0.001 0.012 -0.054 -0.014 0.072 0.007 0.016 0.046 0.037 UWAtmosNVIDIA 9 DLESyMS2Sv1 14 0.019 0.036 -0.008 -0.035 0.01 0.03 -0.002 0.027 0.004 0.072 0.013 -0.018 scienceAI 10 zephyr 17 0.016 0.011 0.034 -0.006 -0.013 0.022 0.046 0.057 0.015 -0.021 0.01 -0.025 scienceAI 10 ngcm 18 0.014 0.009 0.033 0.005 0.004 -0.012 0.032 0.065 0.029 -0.034 0.011 -0.018 scienceAI 10 findforecast 22 -0.03 -0.073 0.008 -0.017 -0.005 0.006 0.035 -0.01 -0.024 -0.095 -0.018 -0.088
Near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Weekly RPSSs for near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Weekly RPSSs for near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Weekly RPSSs for mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Weekly RPSSs for mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Weekly RPSSs for accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Weekly RPSSs for accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Weekly RPSSs for variable-averaged (average), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Weekly RPSSs for variable-averaged (average), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Aggregated RPSSs for near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Aggregated RPSSs for near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Aggregated RPSSs for mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Aggregated RPSSs for mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Aggregated RPSSs for accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Aggregated RPSSs for accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Aggregated RPSSs for variable-averaged (average), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Aggregated RPSSs for variable-averaged (average), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Near-surface air temperature (tas), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Mean sea level pressure (mslp), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
Accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 1 (days 19 to 25)
Accumulated precipitation (pr), forecast window 2 (days 26 to 32)
