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The plot below shows the satellite image from Meteosat channel 9 from 15UTC on 27 July and corresponding simulated satellite image from a 9 hour forecast.
European Severe Database (ESWD) reports and ATDnet lightning density valid for 27 July 2017 are shown below. There are 3 reports from Istanbul for heavy rain, large hail and damaging lightning.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
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