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The plot below shows the warnings on Meteoalarm from 5 October, with a red warning for wind gusts over northern Germany.
2.2 Mesoscale
Satellite and radar sequences around the time that the maximum gusts hit Berlin both suggest, via filamentation in the cloud head region, that the gusts could well have been due to the "Sting Jet" phenomena. The fact that the gusts inland were so high is also believed to be a characteristic of sting jets, because of the top-down destabilisation mechanism that is believed to be involved (as on the 3D poster below).
Maximum instantaneous gusts in short range HRES run, at T+13=VT 13Z on 5 October 2017, right panel has HRES Tephigram locations added
HRES soundings at T+13=13Z within the strong wind area
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
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