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The page will be updated as required. It was last changed on 2101.0506.2018.

For a record of changes made to this page please refer to  Document versions.

Further information and advice regarding the upgrade can be obtained from User Support.

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the upgrade can be obtained from User Support.

Latest news!

01.06.2018

    • The parameter CI (sea-ice fraction, paramId 31) has wrongly been encoded using 24 bits per value, instead of 16, for the Analyses in the Cycle 45r1 test data: This issue only affects the data archived in MARS, not the data available through the dissemination. The problem has been fixed as of the Analysis of 18UTC on 31 May 2018.
    • We have identified an issue with the Cycle 45r1 Simulated Satellite imagery data. We are investigating this problem. These products may not be fixed in time for the implementation on 5 June. In this case, we will update the new Cycle 45r1 later to address this issue.

      Image Added
      Comparison of simulated satellite imagery between cycle 43r3 and cycle 45r1. (Click on image to see the comparison)
    • May we remind our users to download the  Cycle 45r1 expver 0072 re-forecasts from ECPDS, e.g for 4 June and 7 June, they need for their operational activities after the implementation of the new cycle.
    • The implementation of the new cycle is confirmed for Tuesday 5 June 2018. The first operational run using the new cycle will be the 06 UTC analysis and forecast in the Boundary Conditions Optional Programme on 5 June followed by the 12 UTC main assimilation and forecast. The monthly forecast extension to the ensemble will be run with the new IFS cycle for the first time the following Thursday 7 June 2018.


21.05.2018

  • Please note that the bathymetry (water depth) has changed with the IFS Cycle 45r1 . See below for more information. Apologies for this late notification.
  • We have been informed about a change of value values for the ecCodes key named timeRangeIndicator in the cycle 45r1 GRIB1 data at step 0 since the run of 18 April 2018 at 00Z. The cause of this change has been identified and is fixed for the 06Z BC run of 21 May 2018 onwards.
  • The CAMS (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) real-time data assimilation and forecasting system will be upgraded to IFS cycle 45r1 on 26 June 2018. More information can be found in the Implementation of IFS cycle 45R1_CAMS.

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The planned timetable for the implementation of the IFS Cycle 45r1 is as follows:

DateEvent

21.03.2018

Initial Publication
April 2018Initial announcement, with test data in MARS
May 2018Availability of test data in dissemination
5 June 2018

Expected date of implementation

The timetable represents current expectations and may change in light of actual progress made.

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bathy
bathy
New bathymetry in wave models

With the IFS Cycle 45r1, we have upgraded the bathymetry (water depth) used in the wave models (HRES-WAM, HRES-SAW and ENS-WAM) based on ETOPO1.

The figures below show the new bathymetry used for HRES-WAM and ENS-WAM for Europe together with the difference with the previously used bathymetry (ETOPO2).

HRES-WAM

IFS cycle 45r1 bathymetry (ETOPO1)Difference between IFS cycle 43r3 and 45r1 bathymetries

Image Modified

Image Modified

ENS-WAM

IFS cycle 45r1 bathymetry (ETOPO1)Difference between IFS cycle 43r3 and 45r1 bathymetries

Image Modified

Image Modified


This change was in part driven by users pointing out that the previous bathymetry for the Baltic Sea was quite erroneous at few places. Change in water depth will mostly affect the wave fields in coastal area, generally resulting in higher wave heights where the water has become deeper and vice-versa.. Moreover, some WAM grid points have changed from sea to land (i.e. no waves at those points),  and vice versa. These locations are respectively shown in the right figures above , with green and black shadings (you may need to zoom into the pictures). This change of land/sea points will be visible for some coastal locations in the Wave ENSgrams and for users relying exclusively on the wave model values at those locations.

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The GRIB model identifiers (generating process identification number) for cycle 45r1 will be changed as follows:

GRIB 1
Section 1
Octets
GRIB 2
Section 4
Octets
grib_api key ComponentModel ID
OldNew
6 14  generatingProcessIdentifierAtmospheric model148149
Ocean wave model113114
HRES stand-alone ocean wave model213214

New model output parameters

Extended output have been added in cycle 45r1, including precipitation rates, CAPE indices and a total lightning flash density.


paramIdShortnamenameDescriptionunitsGRIB editionComponentTest data availableDisseminationecCharts
Proposed for
Added to the Catalogue
228050litotiInstantaneous total lightning flash densityInstantaneous value of total (cloud-to-cloud and cloud-to-ground) lightning flash density. See also here.km-2 day-12

HRES / ENS

(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
228051litota1Averaged total lightning flash density in the last hour
Averaged total (cloud-to-cloud and cloud-to-ground) lightning flash density in the last hour. See also here.km-2 day-12
HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(error)
228057litota3Averaged total lightning flash density in the last 3 hoursAveraged total (cloud-to-cloud and cloud-to-ground) lightning flash density in the last 3 hours. See also here.km-2 day-12
HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
228058litota6Averaged total lightning flash density in the last 6 hoursAveraged total (cloud-to-cloud and cloud-to-ground) lightning flash density in the last 6 hours. See also here.km-2 day-12
HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
260048tprateTotal precipitation rateTotal precipitation rate (instantaneous)kg m-2 s-12HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
228035mxcape6maximum CAPE in the last 6 hoursMaximum CAPE in the last 6 hours. See also here.J kg-12
HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
228036mxcapes6maximum CAPES in the last 6 hoursMaximum CAPE-shear in the last
6 hours
6 hours. See also here.m2 s-22

HRES / ENS

(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
162071viwveVertical integral of eastward water vapour fluxVertical integral of eastward water vapour flux. See also here.kg m-1 s-11HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
162072viwvnVertical integral of northward water vapour fluxVertical integral of northward water vapour flux. See also here.kg m-1 s-11HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
151131ocuOcean current zonal componentOcean current zonal componentm s-11HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)
151132ocvOcean current meridional componentOcean current meridional componentm s-11HRES / ENS(tick)(tick)TBC(tick)


Tip

For more details on the new lightning parameters, please read the Newsletter article "Promising results for lightning predictions".

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ENS meteograms based on IFS cycle 45r1 test data are available as of 16 May 2018 and can be viewed by selecting the "IFS cycle 45r1'model run in the ENS meteograms interface. Access to remaining web charts will shortly become available.the "IFS cycle 45r1' model run in the ENS meteograms interface. Access to remaining web charts is now also available in the Charts Catalogue. Only the 'clickable' charts are available for the IFS cycle 45r1, by selecting the "IFS  cycle 45R1" from the Model run tab above the chart.

Time-critical applications

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Member State users of the  "Simple time-critical jobs" framework can test that their scripts will work with the IFS Cycle 45r1 test data by using the limited ECaccess 'events' set up for this purpose:

Event IDEvent nameDescription
1633e_ms090At this stage, the e-suite step 090 (HRES-BC) has been generated.
1634e_ms144At this stage, the e-suite step 144 (ENS-BC) has been generated.
1635e_ms240At this stage, the e-suite step 240 (HRES) has been generated.
1636e_ms360At this stage, the e-suite step 360 (ENS) has been generated.
1637e_mslawAt this stage, the e-suite step law (HRES-SAW) has been generated.
1638e_ms1104At this stage, the e-suite step 1104 (ENS-MOFC) has been generated.
1639msrefcAt this stage, the e-suite step refc (REFORECAST) has been updated.

For these events, MSJ_EXPVER environment variable is set to 0072 and can be used to specify the IFS Cycle 45r1 test data in any MARS retrievals.

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DocumentVersions
DocumentVersions
Document versions

DateReason for update
21.03.2018
  • Initial version
12.04.2018
  • Scorecards available
  • Impact on Tropical cyclones added
  • Test data available in MARS, with some reservation on the MXCAPE and lightning parameters
09.05.2018
  • Test data available in dissemination
  • New lightning and MXCAPE output parameters available
  • Re-forecasts available
  • Scorecards updated
14.05.2018
  • ENS derived products available in ECPDS, withthe exception of Tropical Cyclones
  • Data available in ecCharts
21.05.2018
  • Change of bathymetry in cycle 45r1
  • Bug in GRIB-1 encoding fixed
  • ENS meteograms available
  • CAMS real-time system upgrade
01.06.2018
  • Additional links for new parameters
  • New parameters in catalogues
  • Web charts available
  • Issue with encoding of Sea-Ice fraction analyses in MARS fixed.
  • Issue with Simulated Satellite imagery