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Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
Picture
1. Impact
On 10 august a summer storm hit south-western Scandinavia with strong winds and rainfall.
2. Description of the event
The series of plots below show analysis of MSLP and 6-hour precipitation (top) and Z500 and T850 (bottom) from 9 Aug 00z to 10 Aug 12z.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plot below show observed 24-hour wind gusts (first plot) valid for 10 August and HRES forecasts for 24-hour maximum wind gusts (shade) and MSLP valid 10 August 12UTC (contour).
3.3 ENS
The plots below shows EFI and SOT for wind gusts valid 10 August.
The plots below show cyclone feature maps for 1 km maximum wind within 300 km radius, valid for 10 August 12UTC.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Big jump in signal from 6 to 7 August