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The plots below show weekly strike probability (left) and normalised accumulated cyclone energy from extended-range forecasts, valid for 10-16 September. During the same week as Florence was active, TC Helene was present in the central Atlantic and TC Isaac propagated towards the Caribbean. The earlier part of the hurricane season had been quite, and the extended-range forecast seems to picked up the signal of a more active period 2-3 weeks before.
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3.5 Comparison with other centres
3.6 EFAS/GLOFAS
The predicted hydrological impacts of Hurricane Florence and is shown in the GLOFAS forecasts below from 14 September. The rainfall is plotted over the top of the map and the hydrographs highlight the time when the highest river flow is expected.
4. Experience from general performance/other cases
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