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2. Description of the event
Here is a link to Met Éireann's official report on the storm, published one year on:
https://www.met.ie/cms/assets/uploads/2018/10/Ophelia-1.pdf
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
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The plots below show the 24-hour maximum wind gusts for 16 October and the MSLP valid at 12UTC on 16 October from HRES forecasts. The first plot shows observations of 24-hour maximum wind gusts.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the tropical cyclone product for Ophelia.
The plots below show EFI and SOT for 24-hour maximum wind gusts valid 16 October.
The plot below shows the evolution of the forecasts for 24-hour maximum wind gusts on 16 October in Cork.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
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