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The plot below shows evaluation of 2-metre temperature, net radiation and 10-metre wind speed for forecasts (red) and observations (blue) for Reading University. The forecast clearly underestimated the daily maximum temperature and overestimated the wind speed.
The plot below show mean error of daily maximum temperature for 24-27 February, in short-range HRES forecasts. The verification shows clearly the underestimation of the daily maximum temperature in north-western Europe.
(Add mean error map of daily maximum temperature)
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI and SOT for the maximum temperature on 26 February from different initial times.
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