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- Extreme rainfall captured from 7 days before (22 October) and with high confidence from 24 October. However external reports provided to ECMWF indicate that HRES shorter range forecast over parts Italy were unsatisfactory - totals were too large.
- Though not discussed directly above, it is clear from separate feedback that IFS handling of the strong winds and very rapid deepening of the low centre were not handled particularly well by the IFS. It seems this was a low predictability case where very high resolution was critical for capturing the full intensity of the low and the the full strength of the associated winds.