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Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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1. Impact
In the mid of October November north-western Italy and southern Austria was hit by heavy precipitation.
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The plots below show the precipitation observations accumulated on 15 October November (left) and 17 October November (right).
The plots below show analyses of z500 and t850 from 12 to 18 OctoberNovember.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
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Focusing on the event on 17 OctoberNovember, the plots below show observations (first plot) and HRES forecasts valid the same date but from different initial times.
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The plots below show EFI and SOT for 3-day precipitation valid for 15-17 OctoberNovember. The event was well captured more than a week in advance.
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