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3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show 24---- hour maximum winds gusts (1 Oct 12UTC to 2 Oct 12UTC) from observations and HRES forecasts with 1 day apart (all 00UTC).
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The plots below show 24-hour precipitation (2 Oct 06UTC to 3 Oct 06UTC) from observations and HRES forecasts with 1 day apart (all 00UTC).
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI for 24-hour maximum wind gusts on 1 October.
The plot below shows the forecast evolution for 24-hour maximum (1 Oct 12UTC - 2 Oct 12UTC) wind gusts in the box over Bretagne outlined in the EFI plots above. The plot includes ENS (blue), HRES (red dot), ENS control (purple dot), observation (green) and model climate (red).
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