Versions Compared

Key

  • This line was added.
  • This line was removed.
  • Formatting was changed.

...

The two panels below show the ENS outcome forecasts expressed by the latitude (x-axis) when 2MT and T850 hPa dropped below freezing (for a fixed longitude near Fort Worth, Texas)  as a function of the forecast lead time (y-axis, in days) for a same verifying time, ie, 9th February 2021 12Z (~06 Local time, prior to sunrise). The ENS systematically is under-spread and warmer near surface but not near the top of the boundary layer. Vertical solid represents the outcome latitude (analysis).

  

Prediction of the peak of the event

...