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to investigate the feature on 25 January further, the plots below show the tropical cyclone track for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 26 27 January 00UTC (first plot) to 24 January 00UTC (last plot). The symbols shows the position on 27 January 12UTC. HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black).
The plots below show the tropical storm cyclone (>17m/s) activity 28-29 January (48h) in observations (first plot) followed by forecasts from 27, 26, 25 and 24 January (all 00UTC).
3.4 Monthly forecasts
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