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The figures above shows the return period of the event from wind gust observations (left, limited number of stations) and HRES forecast compared to ERA Interim climatology (right). The two estimates agrees that the 10 year return period was exceeded along the North Sea coast.
On the 24 October, UKMO issued an amber warning (see figure above) for southern England for wind speeds. They classifed the potential impact as the highest category and the likelihood of the event as 2 out of 4. In their warning matrix it resulted in an amber warning.
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