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The figures above shows the EFI for wind gusts valid on 5 December from 1 (5 Nov 00UTC), 2, 3, 4, 5 days before the event. The figures also includes the values for the 99th percentile.
Probability of maximum wind gust>33 m/s on the 5 December. The first forecast is from 5 December 00UTC and the following are with one day apart. Up to 3.5-4 days before the event, the probability of hurricane wind gust where close to 100% in western Scotland and over the North Sea.
CDFs of maximum wind gusts for the 5 December for Ekofisk in the North Sea(56.3N, 3.1E) and Torsminde in western Denmark (56.4N, 8.1E). Ekofisk reported between 30 and 40 m/s and Torsminde between 40-50 m/s.
Dalmatian plots of cyclonic features where the colour indicates the maximum wind speed at 850 hPa within 600 km radius. The first forecast is from 5 December 00UTC and the following are with one day apart.
Strike plots of cyclonic features where the maximum wind speed at 850 hPa exceeds 60 kt. The first forecast is from 5 December 00UTC and the following are with one day apart.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
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3.5 Comparison with other centres
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