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Difference between daily max ERA5 UTCI, and mean of the daily max July values 1991-2020, for 18,19,20 July 2022:

Difference between daily max ERA5 UTCI, and 100th percentile of hourly UTCI values in July 1991-2020 (max in historical record), for 18,19,20 July 2022:

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3. Predictability

Below we can find some forecast evolution plots for the European records registered on the 19th of July 2022 for 2m maximum temperature. CDFs are plotted for Coningsby  and Northolt (UK) and the forecast evolution slides are referred to Heathrow (UK) and Bilbao (Spain)

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