...
The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 24-hour precipitation valid 27 July 00UTC - 28 July 00UTC for Fujairah (25N, 56.2E). Mean of observations - green hourglass, concatenated 6-hour forecasts - green dot, HRES –red, ENS blue box-and-whisker, Model climate – red box-and-whisker. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1200 forecasts.
The plots below show:
- First row: 99th percentile of the ENS for 12-h precipitation forecast at different lead times and always valid from 27th 12UTC to 28th 00 UTC 2022.
- Second row: 99th percentile of the ecPoint for 12-h precipitation forecast at different lead times and always valid from 27th 12UTC to 28th 00 UTC 2022.
- Third row: CDFs for the ENS (red) and ecPoint (blue) 12-h precipitation forecast at different lead times and always valid from 27th 12UTC to 28th 00 UTC 2022.
| T+12h | T+24h | T+48h | T+72h | T+96h | T+120h | T+144 | T+168h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ENS raw 99th perc |
|
|
|  |
|  |
|
|
ecPoint 99th perc |
|  |  |
|  |
|  |
|
CDFs ENSraw and ecPoint |
|
|
|  |
|  |  |
|
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
...