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3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

The plots below show the tropical cyclone track for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 28 September 00UTC (first plot) to 19 September 00UTC (last plot). The symbols shows the position on 28 September 18UTC. HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black).

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The plots below show time-series of central pressure (top), maximum wind (middle) and propagation speed (bottom) for HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey).

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3.4 Monthly forecasts

3.5 Comparison with other centres

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