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2. Description of the event

The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6 hour rainfall from 27 September 00UTC to 30 September 00UTC, every 12th hour.

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Radar loops can be found here:  https://bmcnoldy.rsmas.miami.edu/tropics/radar/

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The plots below show time-series of central pressure (top), maximum wind (middle) and propagation speed (bottom) for HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey).


The plots below show EFI for 24-hour maximum wind gusts valid for 28 September.


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The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 24-hour maximum wind gusts valid  28 September at Fort Myers. Concatenated 6-hour forecasts - green dot, HRES –red, ENS control - purple and ENS blue box-and-whisker.

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3.4 Monthly forecasts

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