Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, Peter Bechtold
Discussed in the following Daily reports: -
1. Impact
In the second week of December, Israel experienced exceptional precipitation amounts in the southern Israel coast and the exceptional snow accumulation in the Judea and Samaria hills. The most important event was the intense snow accumulation in Judea and Samaria during the night between Thursday December 12th and Friday December 13th. In about 12h or less they got about 50cm of snow in Jerusalem. In the Samaria hills the intense snow accumulation lasted throughout Friday, reaching about 1 meter of snow towards evening. The entire region was blocked, trees & power lines collapsed because of the snow load and about 60,000 people where in blackout, with the roads blocked all around them for a couple of days. (e-mail from the Met Service)
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Gallery includeLabel rad sort name title Radar
| includeLabel | rad |
|---|---|
| sort | name |
| title | Radar |
The figures above show radar images for the end of 12 December.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The numbers below shows the 24-hour accumulated precipitation (third column) for a point near Jerusalem (32N,35W) for the 11 December. The observed value was 86 mm.
20131210 12 50.9
20131210 0 48.5
20131209 12 53.4
20131209 0 28.9
20131208 12 46.6
20131208 0 32.8
20131207 12 46.8
20131207 0 37.8
Although the numbers are lower than the observed, the forecasts show extreme precipitation.
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