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A wide range of medium range (Day0-Day15) ENS ensemble products are available.  These allow the user to  Users can observe the variation among ENS ensemble member forecasts, and the consistency or otherwise with previous ENS ensemble solutions.  Output data is presented in many ways enabling the user to discern allowing assessment the probability of different forecast scenarios.  In turn, this allows the forecaster to provide customers with tailored forecasts, that .  These may be detailed (especially at shorter lead-times), but also with information regarding on the uncertainty of that forecast.  Chart output represents particular ENS members, or highlights in some "post-processed" form

Ensemble output shows:

  • individual ensemble members with post-processing highlighting similarities and/or differences between

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  • members.

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  • meteograms and plumes for user-selected locations

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  • probabilities of track and intensity of tropical cyclone and extra-tropical

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  • cyclones.
  • probabilities of parameters exceeding a threshold (e.g. temperature, gusts, snowfall)

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  • probabilities relating to precipitation type.