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All the pre- cycle 48r1  ENS extended forecast related events listed hereafter will be discontinued. See command 'ecaccess-event-list':

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284        mofc_all             At this stage, the Monthly Forecast real time products have been updated.
809        mofc_mon             At this stage, the Monday Monthly Forecast real time products have been updated.
1341       mofc_mon_refc        At this stage, the Monday Monthly Forecast raw hindcast data have been generated.
1342       mofc_mon_refc_pp     At this stage, the Monday Monthly Forecast post-processed hindcast products have been generated.
3426       mofc_thu             At this stage, the Thursday Monthly Forecast real time products have been updated.
1343       mofc_thu_refc        At this stage, the Thursday Monthly Forecast raw hindcast data are generated.
1344       mofc_thu_refc_pp     At this stage, the Thursday Monthly Forecast post-processed hindcast products have been generated.
285        mofcrefc             At this stage, the Thursday Monthly Forecast hindcast products have been updated.

The above events have been replaced by two new events:

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4300       ext00h1104           At this stage, the Extended Ensemble Forecast products have been updated.
4301       ext00h1104ref        At this stage, the Extended Ensemble reforecast products have been updated.

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Note
titleENS extended events
  1. Event ext00h1104 will be triggered daily, when the ENS Extended forecasts are available, cf. our dissemination schedule. If you want to keep using ENS Extended data only on Mondays and Thursdays, like before the implementation of cycle 48r1, you will have to add some testing on the day of the week in your TC-1 job. This can be done with the 'date' command, e.g. in the KSH:

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    day_of_week=$(date +%a --date=$MSJ_YEAR$MSJ_MONTH$MSJ_DAY)
    case $day_of_week in
        Mon|Thu)
        echo 'I extract the ENS extended data on Mon and Thu ...'
        *) ;;
    esac


  2. Event ext00h1104ref will be triggered when the ENS extended re-forecasts are first generated. This is about 2 weeks or so before the availability of the ENS reforecasts following the dissemination schedule (the MSJ_ date variables will point to a date about 2 weeks ahead of the current date).

  3. Please remember to use the MSJ_ varaibales variables defined for you in your TC-1 jobs. I.e. by using the MSJ_EXPVER variable in your MARS requests, your TC-1 jobs will work before and after the implementation date of the - any - new IFS cycle.

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The ENS forecasting system has its own re-forecasts (MARS streams ENFH and ENWH). A new TC-1 event has been created that will be triggered when these data are first available, about 2 weeks before the official dissemination schedule, like for the ENS extended re-forecasts.

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4302       ef00h360ref          At this stage, the mid-range ensemble reforecast products have been updated.

Other changes.

Two new MSJ_ variables are defined for your convenience in TC-1 jobs:

  • MSJ_MEMBERS contains the number of (perturbed) members if the forecast stream, e.g. currently 100 members for ENS extended or 10 members for the re-forecasts.
  • MSJ_IFS_CYCLE contains the IFS cycle in use.

See hereafter for an example with the full list of MSJ_ variables defined in an ENS Extended re-forecast TC-1 job.

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MSJ_BASETIME=00
MSJ_DAY=22
MSJ_EVENT=ext00h1104ref
MSJ_EXPVER=0078
MSJ_IFS_CYCLE=48r1
MSJ_MEMBERS=10
MSJ_MONTH=05
MSJ_STEP=1104
MSJ_YEAR=2023