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Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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1. Impact
Tropical cyclone Fani made landfall near Puri in India on 3 May. Before the landfall extensive preparations have been made and more than one million people were evacuated.
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
The plots below show position and intensity in analysis (circles) and BestTrack (hourglass). Plots for o-suite (left) and e-suite (right).
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The plot below shows the intensity in o-suite (red) and e-suite (blue). Sorry for the empty panels.
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the tracks (ensemble -grey, best track - black), position and intensity on 3 May 00UTC (ensemble - squares, best track - hourglass) in forecasts from 3 May (first plot) to 23 April (last plot). The cyclone was recognised as a tropical cyclone on 27 April.
