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The plots below show 5-day precipitation (13 December 00UTC - 18 December 00UTC) in concatenated short forecasts (first plot) and ENS control forecasts with different lead times. Note that sea points have been masked out. The box marks 15.5S - 17.5S, 145E- 146E.
The plots below show 1-day precipitation (17 December 00UTC - 18 December 00UTC) in concatenated short forecasts (first plot) and ENS control forecasts with different lead times. Note that sea points have been masked out. The box marks 15.5S - 17.5S, 145E- 146E. The extreme rainfall on 17 December seems to only been captured 48 hours in advance.
3.3 ENS
The plots below shows EFI and SOT for 5-day precipitation (13 December 00UTC - 18 December 00UTC) from different initial dates.
The plots below shows EFI and SOT for 1-day precipitation (17 December 00UTC - 18 December 00UTC) from different initial dates.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
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