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Discussed in the following Daily reports:


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1. Impact

Heavy monsoon rain during the first week of September led to flooding in north-eastern Pakistan, and has killed about 280 people.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/14/pakistan-floods-military-blows-up-dikes-to-save-cities-from-floodwaters

2. Description of the event

Information about the event can be found here:

http://floodobservatory.colorado.edu/Version3/2014Pakistan4179.html

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titleDail Daily accumulated precipitation

The plots above shows the observed 24-hour precipitation (symbols) day-by-day for the first week of September and short HRES forecast (36-60h). The major rainfall started on the 3 September and continued until 6 September. Please note that we currently missing observations from India.

The figure above shows the 3-day accumulation of precipitation between 3 September 00UTC and 6 September 00UTC. In Close the border between Pakistan and India two stations reported more than 300 mm.

3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

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titleAccumulated precipitation from HRES for 3-6 September

The plots above shows the accumulated precipitation in HRES between accumulated for 3-6 September (72 hours).

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3.5 Comparison with other centres


3.6 EFAS

Image Modified

The plot above is from Glofas from 6 September.

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