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The plots above show 12-hour accumulation for forecasts from 31 August 00UTC from CF (left), HRES (middle) and 2.8 km AROME (right), provided by SMHI. While the both ECMWF forecast missed the event over Malmo-Copenhagen, AROME had intensive rainfall in the region.
3.3 ENS
Gallery includeLabel efi1 sort comment title EFI for total precipitation 31 August 
The plots above shows EFI for rainfall valid for 31 August. The first plot is from 28 August 00UTC and the following from 29, 30 and 31 August. 3 days before (top left) there was a hint of heavy rain, whilst the 2 and 1 day before forecasts had a notable EFI and SOT (>1) signal. The 'day 0' forecast backtracked a little, though is of no relevance for forecasting given issue time.
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