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The plots above shows the HRES forecast for 24-hour precipitation (06-06) from 6 Oct 00z (left) and 5 Oct 12z (right). As seen in the report from MeteoFrance, the band of very high precipitation rates are missing.
3.3 ENS
Gallery includeLabel prob20_ec sort comment title Prob >20mm/24h
The plots above shows the probability of more than 20 mm in 24 hours (6 Oct 06z-7 Oct 06z) from different lead times. Also the ensemble lacks the signal in the worst affected area.
Gallery includeLabel prob20_leps sort comment title Prob >20mm/24h
The plots above shows the probabilities from COSMO-LEPS. Here the ensemble from some of the initial times has a signal over the worst affected region but on other hand lacks the signal on the southern tip of France.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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