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2014(5)

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2014 2014

Gray, S. L., Dunning, C., Methven, J., Masato, G. and Chagnon, J., 2014.Systematic model forecast error in Rossby wave structure. Geophysical Res. Lett., 41, doi:10.1002/2014GL059282. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059282/abstract 

Hamill,T.M.,G.N.Kiladis. Skill of the MJO and Northern Hemisphere Blocking in GEFS Medium-Range Reforecasts. MonthlyWeatherReview, Feb2014, Vol. 142, Issue 2, p868-885. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00199.1

Liu,J.andZ.Xie, 2014: BMA Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting over the Huaihe Basin Using TIGGE Multi-model Ensemble Forecasts. MonthlyWeatherReview; e-View, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00031.1

Magnusson,L.,J-R.Bidlot,S.Lang,A.Thorpe,andN.Wedi, 2014: Evaluation of medium-range forecasts for hurricane Sandy. MonthlyWeatherReview; e-View, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00228.1

Matsueda,M.andT.Nakazawa, 2014: Early warning products for severe weather events derived from operational medium-range ensemble forecasts. MeteorologicalApplications. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.1444/full

2013(21)

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2013 2013

Chang,E.K.M.,M.PeñaandZoltanToth, 2013: International Collaboration in High-Impact Weather Prediction. Bull.Amer.Meteor.Soc., 94, ES149–ES151. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00057.1

Chang,E.K.M.,M.Zheng,K.Raeder, 2013: Medium-Range Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis of Two Extreme Pacific Extratropical Cyclones. MonthlyWeatherReview. Jan2013, Vol. 141 Issue 1, p211-231. 21p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00304.1

Demargne,J.,L.Wu,S.Regonda,J.Brown,H.Lee,M.He,D-JSeo,R.Hartman,H.D.Herr,M.Fresch,J.Schaake,andY.Zhu, 2013: The Science of NOAA's Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service. BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00081.1

Frame,T.H.A.,J.Methven,S.L.Gray,M.H.P.Ambaum, 2013: Flow-dependent predictability of the North Atlantic jet. GeophysicalResearchLetters, 40, 10, pages 2411–2416, 28 May 2013. DOI: 10.1002/grl.50454. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50454/abstract

Gombos,D.,andR.N.Hoffman, 2013: Ensemble-Based Exigent Analysis. Part I: Estimating Worst-Case Weather-Related Forecast Damage Scenarios. Weather&Forecasting . Jun2013, Vol. 28 Issue 3, p537-556. 20p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00080.1

Hamill,T.M.,G.T.Bates,J.S.Whitaker,D.R.Murray,M.Fiorino,T.J.Galarneau,Y.Zhu,W.Lapenta, 2013: NOAA's Second-Generation Global Medium-Range Ensemble Reforecast Dataset. BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety. Oct2013, Vol. 94 Issue 10, p1553-1565. 13p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00014.1

Jayakumar,A.,V.Kumar,TNKrishnamurti, 2013: Lead time for medium range prediction of the dry spell of monsoon using multi-models. JournalofEarthSystemScience, August 2013, Volume 122, Issue 4, pp 991-1004. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12040-013-0321-z#

Kay,J.K.,H.M.Kim,Y-Y.Park,J.Son, 2013: Effect of doubling the ensemble size on the performance of ensemble prediction in the warm season using MOGREPS implemented at the KMA. AdvancesinAtmosphericSciences, September 2013, Volume 30, Issue 5, pp 1287-1302. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-012-2083-y#

Khan,M.,A.ShamseldinandB.Melville, 2013: Impact of Ensemble Size on Forecasting Occurrence of Rainfall using TIGGE Precipitation Forecasts. J. Hydrol. Eng., 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000864 (Jun. 11, 2013). http://ascelibrary.org/doi/abs/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000864

Kuwano-Yoshida,A.,T.Enomoto, 2013: Predictability of Explosive Cyclogenesis over the Northwestern Pacific Region Using Ensemble Reanalysis. MonthlyWeatherReview . Nov2013, Vol. 141 Issue 11, p3769-3785. 17p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00161.1

Li,J.,R.Swinbank,R.DingandW.Duan, 2013: Dynamics and Predictability of High-Impact Weather and Climate Events. Bull.Amer.Meteor.Soc., 94, ES179–ES182. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00213.1

Liu,Y.,Q.Duan,L.Zhao,A.Ye,Y.Tao,C.Miao,X.Mu,J.C.Schaake, 2013: Evaluating the predictive skill of post-processed NCEP GFS ensemble precipitation forecasts in China's Huai river basin. HydrologicalProcesses, Special Issue: Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS), Volume 27, Issue 1, pages 57–74, 1 January 2013DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9496. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hyp.9496/abstract

Marsigli,C.,A.Montani,T.Paccagnella, 2013: Perturbation of initial and boundary conditions for a limited-area ensemble: multi-model versus single-model approach. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, Volume 140, Issue 678, pages 197–208, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2128/full

Matsueda,M.andT.Nakazawa, 2013: New Web-based Forecasting Prototype Tool Early warning products for extreme weather events Derived from operational medium-range ensemble forecasts http://www.wmo.int/pages/publications/meteoworld/archive/jan13/documents/forecast_prototype.pdf

Niu,R.andP.Zhai ,2013: Synoptic verification of medium-extended-range forecasts of the northwest pacific subtropical high and South Asian high based on multi-center TIGGE data. ActaMeteorologicaSinica. October 2013, Volume 27, Issue 5, pp 725-741. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-013-0513-0#

Qian,C.,F.Zhang,B.W.Green,J.Zhang,X.Zhou, 2013: Probabilistic Evaluation of the Dynamics and Prediction of Supertyphoon Megi (2010). Weather&Forecasting . Dec2013, Vol. 28 Issue 6, p1562-1577. 16p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00121.1

Qi,L.,H.Yu,P.Chen, 2013: Selective ensemble-mean technique for tropical cyclone track forecast by using ensemble prediction systems. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety.140: 805–813. doi: 10.1002/qj.2196. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2196/abstract

Tsai,H-C,R.L.Elsberry, 2013: Detection of tropical cyclone track changes from the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. GeophysicalResearchLetters, Volume 40, Issue 4, pages 797–801, 28 February 2013. DOI: 10.1002/grl.50172 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50172/abstract

Wiegand,L.,andP.Knippertz, 2013: Equatorward breaking Rossby waves over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean region in the ECMWF operational Ensemble Prediction System. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, 140, Issue 678, pages 58–71, January 2014 Part A. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2112. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2112/full

Ye,J.,Y.He,F.Pappenberger,H.L.Cloke,D.Y.Manful,Z.Li, 2013: Evaluation of ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, Early View. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2243. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2243/abstract

Zheng,M.,E.K.M.Chang,B.A.Colle, 2013: Ensemble Sensitivity Tools for Assessing Extratropical Cyclone Intensity and Track Predictability. Weather&Forecasting . Oct2013, Vol. 28 Issue 5, p1133-1156. 24p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00132.1

2012 (19)

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2012 2012

Bao,H.,L.Zhao, 2012: Development and application of an atmospheric-hydrologic-hydraulic flood forecasting model driven by TIGGE ensemble forecasts.ActaMeteorologicaSinica. February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 93-102 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0109-0#

Belanger,JamesI.,PeterJ.Webster,JudithA.Curry,MarkT.Jelinek, 2012, Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones,WeatherandForecasting . Jun 2012, Vol. 27 Issue 3, p757-769. 13p.http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00083.1

Duan,M.,J.Ma,P.Wang., 2012: Preliminary comparison of the CMA, ECMWF, NCEP, and JMA ensemble prediction systems. ActaMeteorologicaSinica. February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 26-40. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0103-6#

Duan,Yihong,JiandongGong,JunDu,MartinCharron,JingChen,GuoDeng,GeoffDiMego,MasahiroHara,MasaruKunii,XiaoliLi,YinglinLi,KazuoSaito,HiromuSeko,YongWang,ChristophWittmann, 2012, An Overview of the Beijing 2008 Olympics Research and Development Project (B08RDP),BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety,93 (3), 381-403. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00115.1

Galarneau,ThomasJ.,ThomasM.Hamill,RandallM.Dole,JudithPerlwitz, 2012, A Multi-Scale Analysis of the Extreme Weather Events over Western Russia and Northern Pakistan During July 2010, MonthlyWeatherReview,140,1639–1664. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00191.1

Gombos,Daniel,RossN.Hoffman,JamesA.Hansen, 2012, Ensemble statistics for diagnosing dynamics: Tropical cyclone track forecast sensitivities revealed by ensemble regression, MonthlyWeatherReview,e-View. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00002.1

Hagedorn,R.,Buizza,R.,Hamill,T.M.,Leutbecher,M.andPalmer,T.N., 2012, Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts. Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc. doi: 10.1002/qj.1895 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.1895/abstract

Hamill,ThomasM., 2012, Verification of TIGGE Multi-model and ECMWF Reforecast-Calibrated Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts over the Contiguous US MonthlyWeatherReview,e-View, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00220.1

Hamill,T.M.,M.J.Brennan,B.Brown,M.DeMaria,E.N.Rappaport,Z.Toth, 2012: NOAA's Future Ensemble-Based Hurricane Forecast Products. BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety. Feb2012, Vol. 93 Issue 2, p209-220. 12p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2011BAMS3106.1

Kumar,A.,A.K.Mitra,A.K.Bohra,G.R.Iyengar,V.R.Durai, 2012: Multi-model ensemble (MME) prediction of rainfall using neural networks during monsoon season in India. Meteorological Applications, Special Issue: Monsoons – prediction, variability and impact, Volume 19, Issue 2, pages 161–169, June 2012, DOI: 10.1002/met.254 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.254/abstract?deniedAccessCustomisedMessage=&userIsAuthenticated=false

Schumacher,RussS.,ThomasJ.Galarneau,Jr., 2012, Moisture transport into midlatitudes ahead of recurving tropical cyclones and its relevance in two predecessor rain events, MonthlyWeatherReview, e-View. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00307.1

Waliser, Duane E., Mitch Moncrieff, David Burrridge, Andreas H. Fink, Dave Gochis, B. N. Goswami, Bin Guan, Patrick Harr, Julian Heming, Huang-Hsuing Hsu, Christian Jakob, Matt Janiga, Richard Johnson, Sarah Jones, Peter Knippertz, Jose Marengo, Hanh Nguyen, Mick Pope, Yolande Serra, Chris Thorncroft, Matthew Wheeler, Robert Wood, Sandra Yuter, 2012, The “Year” of Tropical Convection (May 2008 to April 2010): Climate Variability and Weather Highlights, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,e-View.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3095.1

Xu,J.,W.Zhang,Z.Zheng,M.Jiao,J.Chen, 2012: Early flood warning for Linyi watershed by the GRAPES/XXT model using TIGGE data. Acta Meteorologica Sinica. February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 103-111. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0110-7#

Yamaguchi,M.,T.Nakazawa,S.Hoshino, 2012: On the relative benefits of a multi-centre grand ensemble for tropical cyclone track prediction in the western North Pacific. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Volume 138, Issue 669, pages 2019–2029, October 2012 Part B. DOI: 10.1002/qj.1937 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.1937/abstract?deniedAccessCustomisedMessage=&userIsAuthenticated=false

Yamaguchi,M.,T.Nakazawa,andK.Aonashi, 2012: Tropical cyclone track forecasts using JMA model with ECMWF and JMA initial conditions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L09801, doi:10.1029/2012GL051473. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012GL051473/abstract

Yang,C.,Z.Yan,Y.Shao, 2012: Probabilistic precipitation forecasting based on ensemble output using generalized additive models and Bayesian model averaging. ActaMeteorologicaSinica. February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 1-12. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0101-8#

Yan,Z.,J.Han,M.Jiao,J.Chen,Q.Ye,L.Zhao,K.Tu, 2012: Formation of an interactive user-oriented forecasting system: Experience from hydrological application in Linyi, Eastern China. ActaMeteorologicaSinica, February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 13-25. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0102-7#

Zhao,L.,Q.Dan,F.Tian,etal., 2012: Probabilistic flood prediction in the upper Huaihe catchment using TIGGE data. ActaMeteorologicaSinica, February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 62-71. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0106-3#

Zhi,X.,H.Qi,Y.Bai,C.Lin, 2012. A comparison of three kinds of multimodel ensemble forecast techniques based on the TIGGE data. ActaMeteorologicaSinica.February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 41-51. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0104-5#

2011 (26)

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2011 2011

Colle,B.A.,M.E.Charles., 2011: Spatial Distribution and Evolution of Extratropical Cyclone Errors over North America and its Adjacent Oceans in the NCEP Global Forecast System Model. Weather & Forecasting. Apr2011, Vol. 26 Issue 2, p129-149. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF2222422.1

Cuo,Lan,ThomasC.Pagano,Q.J.Wang, 2011: A Review of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts and Their Use in Short- to Medium-Range Streamflow Forecasting. Journal of ydrometeorology. Volume 12, Issue 5 (October 2011) pp. 713-728 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JHM1347.1

Du,J.,andB.Zhou, 2011: A Dynamical Performance-Ranking Method for Predicting Individual Ensemble Member Performance and Its Application to Ensemble Averaging. Monthly Weather Review. Oct2011, Vol. 139 Issue 10, p3284-3303. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-10-05007.1

Dupont,T.,M.Plu,P.Caroff,G.Faure, 2011: Verification of Ensemble-Based Uncertainty Circles around Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts. Weather & Forecasting, Oct2011, Vol. 26 Issue 5, p664-676. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00007.1

Frame,T.H.A.,M.H.P.Ambaum,S.L.Gray,andJ.Methven, 2011, Ensemble prediction of transitions of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet. Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc., 137, 1288-1297. doi: 10.1002/qj.829 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.829/abstractdoi: 10.1002/qj.829 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.829/abstract

Froude,L.S.R., 2011: TIGGE: Comparison of the Prediction of Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclones by Different Ensemble Prediction Systems. WeatherandForecasting, 26,388-398. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF2222457.1

Grams,C.M.,Wernli,H.,Bottcher,M.,Campa,J.,Corsmeier,U.,Jones,S.C.,Keller,J.H.,Lenz,C.-J.andWiegand,L., 2011, The key role of diabatic processes in modifying the upper-tropospheric wave guide: a North Atlantic case-study, Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc., 137, 2174-2193. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.891/abstract

Hamill,T.M.,J.S.Whitaker,M.FiorinoandS.G.Benjamin, 2011, Global Ensemble Predictions of 2009's Tropical Cyclones Initialized with an Ensemble Kalman Filter, MonthlyWeatherReview, 139 (2), 668-688. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3456.1

Han,J.,Q.Ye,Z.Yan,M.Jiao,J.Xia, 2011: Conceptual study on incorporating user information into forecasting systems. FrontiersofEnvironmentalScience&EngineeringinChina, December 2011, Volume 5, Issue 4, pp 533-542 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11783-010-0246-6

Kang,S.-D.,D.W.Shin,S.Cocke,H.-D.Kim,W.-S.Jung, 2011: Comparison of ensemble methods for summer-time numerical weather prediction over East Asia. MeteorologyandAtmosphericPhysics, June 2011, Volume 113, Issue 1-2, pp 27-38 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00703-011-0148-6

Keller,J.H.,S.C.Jones,J.L.Evans,andP.A.Harr, 2011: Characteristics of the TIGGE multimodel ensemble prediction system in representing forecast variability associated with extratropical transition, Geophys.Res.Lett., 38, L12802. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2011GL047275/abstract

Keller,J.D.,A.Hense,2011: A new non-Gaussian evaluation method for ensemble forecasts based on analysis rank histograms. MeteorologischeZeitschrift, Volume 20, Number 2, April 2011 , pp. 107-117(11) http://umd.library.ingentaconnect.com/content/schweiz/mz/2011/00000020/00000002/art00003

Kim,Sangil,R.M.Samelson,ChrisSnyder, 2011,Toward an Uncertainty Budget for a Coastal Ocean ModelMonthlyWeatherReview,139 (3), 866-884. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3352.1

Kipling,Zak,CristinaPrimo,AndrewCharlton-Perez, 2011: Spatiotemporal Behavior of the TIGGE Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts*. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2561-2571. doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3556.1. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2010MWR3556.1

Majumdar,S.J.,Chen,S.-G.andWu,C.-C., 2011, Characteristics of Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling guidance for tropical cyclones. Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc., 137, 503-520. doi: 10.1002/qj.746 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.746/abstract

Matsueda,M., 2011: Predictability of Euro-Russian blocking in summer of 2010, Geophys.Res.Lett., 38, L06801. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2010GL046557/abstract

Matsueda,M.,H.Endo, 2011: Verification of medium-range MJO forecasts with TIGGE. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L11801. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2011GL047480/abstract ,

Matsueda,M.,M.Kyouda,Z.Toth,H.L.Tanaka,andT.Tsuyuki, 2011: Predictability of an Atmospheric Blocking Event that Occurred on 15 December 2005, Mon.Wea.Rev., 139, 2455-2470. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3551.1

Mitra,A.K.,GRIyengar,VRDurai,JSanjay,TNKrishnamurti,AMishra,DRSikka, 2011: Experimental real-time multi-model ensemble (MME) prediction of rainfall during monsoon 2008: Large-scale medium-range aspects. Journal of Earth System Science, February 2011, Volume 120, Issue 1, pp 27-52. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12040-011-0013-5

Schumacher,RussS., 2011, Ensemble-Based Analysis of Factors Leading to the Development of a Multiday Warm-Season Heavy Rain Event,MonthlyWeatherReview,139 (9), 3016-3035. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-10-05022.1

Tennant,W.J.,G.J.Shutts,A.Arribas,S.A.Thompson, 2011: Using a Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme to Improve MOGREPS Probabilistic Forecast Skill. MonthlyWeatherReview. Apr2011, Vol. 139 Issue 4, p1190-1206. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3430.1

Waliser,DuaneE.,MitchMoncrieff,DavidBurrridge,AndreasH.Fink,DaveGochis,B.N.Goswami,BinGuan,PatrickHarr,JulianHeming,Huang-HsuingHsu,ChristianJakob,MattJaniga,RichardJohnson,SarahJones,PeterKnippertz,JoseMarengo,HanhNguyen,MickPope,YolandeSerra,ChrisThorncroft,MatthewWheeler,RobertWood,SandraYuter, 2011, The “Year” of Tropical Convection (May 2008 to April 2010): Climate Variability and Weather Highlights,BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety: http://journals.ametsocdx.doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3095.1

Tsai,Hsiao-Chung;Lu,Kuo-Chen;Elsberry,RussellL.;Lu,Mong-Ming;Sui,Chung-Hsiung; 2011: Tropical Cyclone--like Vortices Detection in the NCEP 16-Day Ensemble System over the Western North Pacific in 2008: Application and Forecast Evaluation. Weather&Forecasting. Feb2011, Vol. 26 Issue 1, p77-93. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2010WAF2222415.1

Vannitsem,S.,R.Hagedorn, 2011; Ensemble forecast post-processing over Belgium: comparison of deterministic-like and ensemble regression methods. Meteorological Applications, Volume 18, Issue 1, 94–104, March 2011, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.217/full

Wiegand,Lars,ArwenTwitchett,CorneliaSchwierz,PeterKnippertz, 2011, Heavy Precipitation at the Alpine South Side and Saharan Dust over Central Europe: A Predictability Study Using TIGGE, WeatherandForecasting, 26, 957–974.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-10-05060.1

Yamaguchi,Munehiko,DavidS.Nolan,MohamedIskandarani,SharanyaJ.Majumdar,MelindaS.Peng,CarolynA.Reynolds, 2011, Singular Vectors for Tropical Cyclone–Like Vortices in a Nondivergent Barotropic Framework, JournaloftheAtmosphericSciences,68 (10), 2273-2291. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JAS3727.1

2010 (20)

Anchor
2010 2010

Bougeault,P.,Z.Toth,C.Bishop,B.Brown,D.Burridge,D.Chen,E.Ebert,M.Fuentes,T.Hamill,K.Mylne,J.Nicolau,T.Paccagnella,Y.-Y.Park,D.Parsons,B.Raoult,D.Schuster,P.SilvaDias,R.Swinbank,Y.Takeuchi,W.Tennant,L.WilsonandS.Worley, 2010: The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). Bull.Amer.Met.Soc., 91, 1059–1072. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010BAMS2853.1

Chen,Shin-Gan,DepartmentofAtmosphericSciences,NationalTaiwanUniversity,Taipei,Taiwan;andS.J.MajumdarandC.C.Wu, 2010: Properties of the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling strategy for tropical cyclones. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_167822.htm

Froude,L.S.R., 2010: TIGGE: Comparison of the prediction of Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones by different ensemble prediction systems. Wea.Forecasting, 25, 819-836. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF2222326.1

Froude,L.S.R.andR.J.Gurney, 2010: Storm prediction research and its application to the oil/gas industry. In: Troccoli A (ed) Management of Weather and Climate Risk in the Energy Industry, NATOScienceSeries, Springer, 241-252. http://www.nerc-essc.ac.uk/~lsrf/Downloads/NATO.pdf

Hagedorn,R.,R.Buizza,T.M.Hamill,M.Leutbecher,andT.N.Palmer, 2010: Comparing TIGGE multi-model and ECMWF calibrated ensembles. GeophysicalResearchAbstracts, 12, EGU2010-10456. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2010/EGU2010-10456.pdf

Hamill,T.,J.S.WhitakerandS.Benjamin, 2010: Performance of the NOAA FIM global ensemble prediction system for hurricanes during the 2009 season. 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences. http://ams.confex.com/ams/90annual/techprogram/paper_157592.htm

He, Y., F. Wetterhall, H. Bao, H. Cloke, Z. Li, F. Pappenberger, Y. Hu, D. Manful, and Y. Huang, 2010: Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July–September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 11, 132–138. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.270/abstract 

Huang,Y.,Z.Li,Y.He,F.Wetterhall,D.Manful,H.Cloke,andF.Pappenberger, 2010: Uncertainty assessment of early flood warning driven by the TIGGE ensemble weather predictions. GeophysicalResearchAbstracts,12, EGU2010-15497. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2010/EGU2010-15497.pdf

Keller,J., 2010: Investigation of predictability during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). 29thConferenceonHurricanesandTropicalMeteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/168784.pdf

JanD.Keller,AndreasHense,LuisKornblueh,AndreasRhodin, 2010, On the Orthogonalization of Bred Vectors, WeatherandForecasting,25(4), 1219-1234, http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF2222334.1

McCaslin,P.,T.Nakazawa,R.SwinbankandZ.Toth, 2010: Improving cyclone warning Case study: Philippines. WMOBulletin, 59(2), 79-81.

Majumdar,SharanyaJ.andPeterM.Finocchio, 2010: On the ability of global Ensemble Prediction Systems to predict tropical cyclone track probabilities. WeatherandForecasting,25, 2, 659-680.http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2009WAF2222327.1

Nakazawa,TetsuoandM.Matsueda, 2010: Genesis potential estimation of high-impact weather by TIGGE ensemble data. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_168409.htm

Nakazawa,T.,R.Swinbank,Z.TothandE.Ebert, 2010: THORPEX/TIGGE applications to TC motion and forecasting. 7^thInternationalWorkshoponTropicalCyclones(IWTC-VII),LaRéunion,France,15-20November2010. http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/iwtc/documentation/SF2a.pdf

Ramos, M.;Zalachori, I.;Mathevet, T.;Loumagne, C., 2010: Using the TIGGE database for ensemble hydrological forecasting: a study on 74 catchments in France.AmericanGeophysicalUnion,FallMeeting2010, abstract #H23A-1166. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2010AGUFM.H23A1166R

Schumacher,RussS., 2010: Predecessor Rain Events ahead of recurving tropical cyclones: Using numerical simulations and ensemble forecasts to quantify the rainfall enhancement. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_169261.htm

Schumacher, R.S., and C.A. Davis, 2010: Ensemble-based uncertainty analysis of diverse heavy rainfall events. Weather and Forecasting, 25(4), 1103-1122. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010WAF2222378.1

Yamaguchi,M.andS.J.Majumdar, 2010: Using TIGGE data to diagnose initial perturbations and their growth for tropical cyclone ensemble forecasts. Mon.Wea. Rev., 138, 9, 3634-3655. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3176.1

Yamaguchi,Munehiko, 2010: Using TIGGE data to diagnose initial perturbations and their growth for tropical cyclone ensemble forecasts. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/divs/mpo/About_MPO/Seminars/2009/Yamaguchi-Abstract.pdf

Zhao,L.,H.Wu,D.Qi,F.Tian,J.Di,Q.Duan,andZ.Wang, 2010: Evaluation of probabilistic precipitation forecast using TIGGE data over Huaihe Basin. GeophysicalResearchAbstracts, 12, EGU2010-15306-1. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2010/EGU2010-15306-1.pdf

2009 (13)

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2009 2009

Bao, H.;Li, Z.;Yu, Z., 2009: Development of coupled atmospheric-hydrologic-hydraulic flood forecasting system driven by ensemble weather predictions. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, abstract #H51G-0833. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFM.H51G0833B

Candille, Guillem, 2009: The multiensemble approach: The NAEFS example. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 1655–1665. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008MWR2682.1 

He,Y.,F.Wetterhall,H.L.Cloke,F.Pappenberger,M.Wilson,J.FreerandG.McGregor, 2009: Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions. Meteorol.Appl..DOI: 10.1002/met. http://www.nmpi.net/wiki/images/3/34/TIGGE_HE_et_al2009.pdf 

Jacobs,C.A.andS.J.Worley, 2009: Data Curation in Climate and Weather: Transforming Our Ability to Improve Predictions through Global Knowledge Sharing. The International Journal of Digital Curation. v.4, 68-79. http://www.ijdc.net/index.php/ijdc/article/viewFile/119/122

Johnson,C.andR.Swinbank, 2009: Medium-range multi-model ensemble combination and calibration, Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc., 135, 777-794. http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/122246419/abstract

Keller,JuliaH. 2010: Investigation of predictability during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_168784.htm

Krishnamurti,T.N.,A. D. Sagadevan,A. Chakraborty,A. K. MishraandA. Simon, 2009: Improving multimodel weather forecast of monsoon rain over China using FSU superensemble . AdvancesinAtmosphericSciences. http://www.springerlink.com/content/h85463j782368381/

Matsueda,M.,M.Kyouda,Z.Toth,T.Miyoshi,H.L.Tanaka,andT.Tsuyuki,2009: On the predictability of a blocking occurred on 15th December 2005. Third THORPEX International Science Symposium. 14-18 September 2009, Monterey, USA. http://air.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp/~tanaka/papers/paper225.pdf 

Matsueda, M.andH.L.Tanaka, 2008: Can MCGE Outperform the ECMWF Ensemble? SOLA, 4, 77-80. http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/4/0/4_77/_article

Matsueda,M., 2009: Blocking Predictability in Operational Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts, SOLA, 5, 113-116. http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/5/0/5_113/_article

Matsueda,M., 2009: Comparison of medium-range ensemble forecast skill using the TIGGE database. Fourth Japan-China-Korea Joint Conference on Meteorology. 8-9 November 2009, Tsukuba, Japan. http://wwwsoc.nii.ac.jp/msj/jckjc09/JCKJC09-Abstract_Collection.pdf

Weigel,A.P.,andN.E.Bowler,2009: Comment on ‘Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts?’ QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, Volume 135, Issue 639, pages 535–539, January 2009 Part B. DOI: 10.1002/qj.381http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.381/abstract 

Zsoter,E.,R.Buizza,D.Richardson, 2009: “Jumpiness” of the ECMWF and Met Office EPS Control and Ensemble-Mean Forecasts. MonthlyWeatherReview. Nov 2009, Vol. 137 Issue 11, p3823-3836. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2009MWR2960.1 

2008 (11)

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2008 2008

Bowler,N.E.,A.Arribas,K.R.Mylne, 2008: The Benefits of Multianalysis and Poor Man’s Ensembles. Monthly Weather Review . Nov 2008, Vol. 136 Issue 11, p4113-4129. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2008MWR2381.1

Buizza,R., 2008: Comparison of a 51-Member Low-Resolution (TL399L62) Ensemble with a 6-Member High-Resolution (TL799L91) Lagged-Forecast Ensemble. Monthly Weather Review . Sep2008, Vol. 136 Issue 9, p3343-3362. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008MWR2430.1

Buizza,R.,Y.-Y.Park,M.Leutbecher,and,F.Pappenberger, 2008: Predictability studies using TIGGE data. ECMWF Newsletter No. 116, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK. Available from http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/newsletters/.

Pappenberger,F.,J.Bartholmes,J.Thielen,H.L.Cloke,R.Buizza,andA.deRoo, 2008: New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10404, doi:10.1029/2008GL033837. http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2008/2008GL033837.shtml 

Park,Y.-Y.,R.Buizza,andM.Leutbecher, 2008: TIGGE: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 2029-2050 http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/121516300/abstract

Rabier,F.;Gauthier,P.;Cardinali,C.;Langland,R.;Tsyrulnikov,M.;Lorenc,A.;Steinle,P.;Gelaro,R.;Koizumi,K., 2008: An update on THORPEX-related research in data assimilation and observing strategies. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics . 2008, Vol. 15 Issue 1, p81-94.

Rutledge, G. K.;Schuster, D.;Worley, S.;Stepaniak, D.;Toth, Z.;Zhu, Y.;Bougeault, P.;Anthony, S. 2008: Archive Access to the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) Suite of Model Output. American Geophysical Union, Spring Meeting 2008, abstract #IN41A-04. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008AGUSMIN41A..04R

Thielen, J.;Pappenberger, F.;Bartholmes, J.;Kalas, M.;Bogner, K.;de Roo, A., 2008: Flood Forecasting Based on Multiple EPS -- is it Worth the Effort? American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2008, abstract #H53H-03. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008AGUFM.H53H..03T

Titley,H.,N.Savage,R.SwinbankandS.Thompson, 2008: Comparison between Met Office and ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecast systems, Meteorology R&D Technical Report no. 512, Met Office.

Titley,H.,T.Hewson,C.JohnsonandR.Swinbank, 2008: Predicting high-impact weather using medium-range ensemble forecasts. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 10, EGU2008-A-01494, 2008. http://meetings.copernicus.org/www.cosis.net/abstracts/EGU2008/01494/EGU2008-A-01494.pdf

Worley,S.Schuster,D.,Raoult,B,Chen,D.andGong,J., 2008: Improving High-impact weather forecasts EOS, 89, 36, 330-331.

2007 (3)

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2007 2007

Froude,L.S.R.,L.Bengtsson,K.I.Hodges, 2007: The Prediction of Extratropical Storm Tracks by the ECMWF and NCEP Ensemble Prediction Systems. Monthly Weather Review . Jul2007, Vol. 135 Issue 7, p2545-2567. 23p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/MWR3422.1

Matsueda, M., M. Kyouda, H.L. Tanaka and T. Tsuyuki, 2007: Daily Forecast Skill of Multi-Center Grand Ensemble. SOLA,3, 29-32. http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/3/0/3_29/_article

Swinbank,R.,H.Watkin,C.JohnsonandS.Thompson, 2007: Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts at the Met Office. http://www.wcrp-climate.org/WGNE/BlueBook/2007/individual-articles/06_Swinbank_Richard_WGNE_THORPEX_ensembles.pdf

2006 (1)

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2006 2006

Matsueda,M.,M.Kyouda,H.L.TanakaandT.Tsuyuki, 2006: Multi-Center Grand Ensemble using Three Operational Ensemble Forecasts.SOLA, 2, 33-36 http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/2/0/2_33/_articlehttp://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/2/0/2_33/_article

2005 (1)

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2005 2005

Richardson,D.,R.,BuizzaandR.Hagedorn, 2005: Final report of the 1st Workshop on the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). WMO TD No. 1273, WWRP-THORPEX No. 5 http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/documents/TIGGEFirstWorkshopReport.pdf