...
| Show If | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
|
1. Impact
Tropical cyclone Beryl hit the southern Caribbean on 1 July with the worst impact on Grenada as a category 4 hurricane. The system continued to intensify and became the earliest category 5 hurricane in the observation record. The system continued to the west and impacted Jamaica and crossed the Yucatan peninsula in a weaker state. The system gained hurricane status again after entering Gulf of Mexico and made a final landfall over Texas US, triggering a lot of tornadoes.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Beryl
...
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the tropical cyclone track for TC Beryl for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 1 July 00UTC (first plot) to 26 June 00UTC (last plot). The symbols shows the position on 1 July 00UTC (hourglass for BestTrack). HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black). DestinE4.4 is included in purple.
The plots below show the same as above but of 49r1 e-suite.
...
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases
...