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The plots below show 72-hour precipitation in DestinE 4.4km with different lead times.
The plots below show 72-hour precipitation in AIFS with different lead times.
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The plots below show EFI for 3-day precipitation (26 September -28 September) from different initial dates.
The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 72-hour precipitation around Asheville. The value for NEXRAD is 356 mm/72h.
Analysis - green dot
ENS control–red
ENS - blue box-and-whisker
DestinE4.4 - evergreen dot
AIFS - cyan dot
AIFS-ENS - grey box-and-whisker
Model climate – cyan box-and-whisker
Ensemble mean as black diamonds. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1200 forecasts.
The plots below show the tropical cyclone track for TC Helene for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 26 September 00UTC (first plot) to 21 September 00UTC (last plot). The symbols shows the position on 27 September 00UTC (hourglass for BestTrack). HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black). AIFS is included in green.
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