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3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

The plots below show 24-hour precipitation in observations (first plot, to be added), concatenated short forecasts (second plot). 

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The plots below show 24-hour precipitation in ENS control forecasts with different lead times.

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The plots below show 24-hour precipitation in DestinE 4.4km with different lead times.

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The plots below show 24-hour precipitation in AIFS with different lead times.

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The plots below show 24-hour precipitation in AIFS0-ENS member 1 with different lead times.

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3.3 ENS

 The plots below shows EFI and SOT for 1-day precipitation.

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The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 48-hour precipitation for Vienna (split in two figures to fit all forecast types). 

Observation - green hourglass
Analysis - green dot
ENS control–red
ENS - blue box-and-whisker
AIFS - cyan dot
Desint4.4km - evergreen dot
AIFS-ENS - grey box-and-whiske

Model climate – cyan box-and-whisker 

Ensemble mean as black diamonds. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1800 forecasts.




3.4 Monthly forecasts

 

3.5 Comparison with other centres

 

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

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